Jefferson Capital Common Stock Price Patterns
| JCAP Stock | USD 21.96 0.94 4.47% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.545 | Wall Street Target Price 24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.456 |
Using Jefferson Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jefferson Capital Common from the perspective of Jefferson Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jefferson Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jefferson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jefferson Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 21.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jefferson | Build AI portfolio with Jefferson Stock |
Jefferson Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jefferson Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jefferson Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jefferson Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jefferson Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jefferson Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jefferson Capital's historical news coverage. Jefferson Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.28 and 24.60, respectively. We have considered Jefferson Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jefferson Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jefferson Capital Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jefferson Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jefferson Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jefferson Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jefferson Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.64 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.96 | 21.94 | 0.09 |
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Jefferson Capital Hype Timeline
Jefferson Capital Common is currently traded for 21.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Jefferson is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Jefferson Capital is about 459.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.85. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Jefferson Capital was currently reported as 7.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Jefferson Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jefferson Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jefferson Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jefferson Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Jefferson Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jefferson Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.41 | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.20 | 3.98 | (2.56) | 9.31 | |
| BBDC | Barings BDC | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.93 | (0.05) | 1.47 | (1.45) | 4.59 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | 0.08 | 16 per month | 1.43 | 0.17 | 4.01 | (2.57) | 14.34 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.38 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.11 | (2.04) | 6.56 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.14 | (4.32) | 24.69 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.55 | (0.02) | 4.77 | (5.57) | 14.61 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (6.59) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.95 | (3.84) | 11.08 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.15 | (3.31) | 8.78 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | 0.28 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.07 | 2.45 | (1.60) | 5.81 |
Jefferson Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jefferson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jefferson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jefferson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jefferson Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jefferson Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jefferson Capital Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jefferson Capital based on analysis of Jefferson Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jefferson Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jefferson Capital's related companies. | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0283 | 0.0333 | 0.0383 | 0.073 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.34 | 2.49 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
Pair Trading with Jefferson Capital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Jefferson Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Jefferson Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Jefferson Stock
| 0.83 | KG | Kestrel Group Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | CMS | CMS Energy Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Jefferson Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Jefferson Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Jefferson Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Jefferson Capital Common to buy it.
The correlation of Jefferson Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Jefferson Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Jefferson Capital Common moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Jefferson Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Jefferson Stock Analysis
When running Jefferson Capital's price analysis, check to measure Jefferson Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jefferson Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Jefferson Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jefferson Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jefferson Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jefferson Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.