Navient Corp Stock Price Prediction

NAVI Stock  USD 13.92  0.09  0.65%   
As of 18th of January 2025, the relative strength indicator of Navient Corp's share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Navient Corp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

35

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Navient Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Navient Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Navient Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.39)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.4381
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.3852
Wall Street Target Price
14.1111
Using Navient Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navient Corp from the perspective of Navient Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Navient Corp using Navient Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Navient using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Navient Corp's stock price.

Navient Corp Implied Volatility

    
  0.93  
Navient Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Navient Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Navient Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Navient Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Navient Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Navient Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Navient because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Navient Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Navient contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Navient Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Navient Corp trading at USD 13.92, that is roughly USD 0.008091 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Navient Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Navient Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Navient Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Navient Stock please use our How to Invest in Navient Corp guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navient Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6914.1516.61
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.610.63
Details

Navient Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Navient Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Navient Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Navient Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Navient Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Navient Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Navient Corp's historical news coverage. Navient Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.46 and 16.38, respectively. We have considered Navient Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.92
13.92
After-hype Price
16.38
Upside
Navient Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Navient Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Navient Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Navient Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Navient Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Navient Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.44
  0.04 
  0.05 
11 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.92
13.92
0.00 
530.43  
Notes

Navient Corp Hype Timeline

Navient Corp is now traded for 13.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Navient is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Navient Corp is about 428.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.87. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Navient Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Navient Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Navient Stock please use our How to Invest in Navient Corp guide.

Navient Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Navient Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Navient Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Navient Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Navient Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FCFSFirstCash(4.87)7 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.52 (2.12) 7.71 
NNINelnet Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 1.72 (2.16) 15.35 
IXOrix Corp Ads(0.29)5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.12 (2.44) 8.44 
AGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage(2.04)12 per month 1.51  0.04  2.77 (2.52) 14.82 
SLMBPSLM Corp Pb 0.00 0 per month 0.23 (0.01) 0.53 (0.41) 1.89 
AGM-AFederal Agricultural Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 1.81  0.02  4.87 (4.60) 15.76 
EZPWEZCORP Inc(0.35)10 per month 0.96  0.09  2.70 (1.72) 6.72 
SLMSLM Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.37  0.13  3.00 (2.60) 15.02 
ENVAEnova International 0.71 9 per month 1.50  0.15  3.54 (3.16) 15.35 
ATLCPAtlanticus Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.69  0.06  1.60 (1.29) 3.50 
MFINMedallion Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.66  0.03  2.82 (2.96) 11.25 
LPROOpen Lending Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.97 (5.49) 18.57 

Navient Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Navient price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navient using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navient charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Navient Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Navient Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Navient Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Navient Corp based on analysis of Navient Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Navient Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Navient Corp's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0390.03430.03090.0352
Price To Sales Ratio1.341.782.041.88

Story Coverage note for Navient Corp

The number of cover stories for Navient Corp depends on current market conditions and Navient Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navient Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navient Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Navient Corp Short Properties

Navient Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Navient Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navient Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navient Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navient Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123 M
Cash And Short Term Investments839 M

Complementary Tools for Navient Stock analysis

When running Navient Corp's price analysis, check to measure Navient Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navient Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Navient Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navient Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navient Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navient Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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