J J Snack Stock Price Prediction

JJSF Stock  USD 174.00  2.84  1.66%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of J J's the stock price is roughly 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling JJSF, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of J J's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of J J and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from J J's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with J J Snack, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting J J's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.18
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.12
Wall Street Target Price
187.25
Using J J hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of J J Snack from the perspective of J J response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

J J Snack Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to J J's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JJSF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JJSF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around J J Snack. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of J J's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about J J.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in J J to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JJSF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

J J after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 174.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out J J Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of J J's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.08162.47191.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
162.74164.12165.51
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
167.44184.00204.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.590.63
Details

J J After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of J J at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in J J or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of J J, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

J J Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting J J's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on J J's historical news coverage. J J's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 172.65 and 175.43, respectively. We have considered J J's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
174.00
172.65
Downside
174.04
After-hype Price
175.43
Upside
J J is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of J J Snack is based on 3 months time horizon.

J J Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as J J is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading J J backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with J J, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.38
  0.06 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
174.00
174.04
0.02 
181.58  
Notes

J J Hype Timeline

J J Snack is currently traded for 174.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. JJSF is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 174.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 181.58%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on J J is about 284.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.57 B. Net Income was 86.55 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 369.64 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out J J Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

J J Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to J J's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict J J's future price movements. Getting to know how J J's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how J J may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JBSSJohn B Sanfilippo(0.73)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.54 (2.16) 12.01 
THSTreehouse Foods(0.51)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.71 (2.61) 17.32 
NOMDNomad Foods(0.34)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.03 (2.59) 6.49 
CENTCentral Garden Pet 0.25 9 per month 1.44 (0.07) 2.81 (2.33) 6.39 
BRBRBellring Brands LLC 1.89 7 per month 0.11  0.37  2.61 (0.91) 4.71 
POSTPost Holdings(1.10)8 per month 0.90 (0.12) 1.73 (1.54) 3.27 
SENEBSeneca Foods Corp 0.00 3 per month 1.22  0.06  4.02 (2.64) 11.90 
LANCLancaster Colony(4.05)9 per month 1.53  0.0009  3.43 (2.05) 9.59 
SENEASeneca Foods Corp(1.57)4 per month 1.45  0.11  2.87 (1.85) 11.87 
BRIDBridgford Foods 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.52 (7.02) 32.90 
CENTACentral Garden Pet(0.38)7 per month 1.45 (0.08) 2.74 (2.72) 6.82 
NATRNatures Sunshine Products 0.21 7 per month 1.82  0.07  6.11 (2.99) 22.72 
ASBFFAssociated British Foods 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.00  0.00  6.28 

J J Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JJSF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JJSF using various technical indicators. When you analyze JJSF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About J J Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of J J stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as J J Snack, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of J J based on analysis of J J hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to J J's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to J J's related companies.
 2011 2016 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01280.01850.01720.0171
Price To Sales Ratio2.241.892.12.02

Story Coverage note for J J

The number of cover stories for J J depends on current market conditions and J J's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that J J is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about J J's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

J J Short Properties

J J's future price predictability will typically decrease when J J's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of J J Snack often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential J J's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. J J's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.4 M

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When running J J's price analysis, check to measure J J's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy J J is operating at the current time. Most of J J's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of J J's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move J J's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of J J to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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