Huntington Ingalls Industries Stock Price Prediction
| HII Stock | USD 193.46 4.81 2.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.8521 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.2822 | Wall Street Target Price 227.3433 |
Using Huntington Ingalls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntington Ingalls Industries from the perspective of Huntington Ingalls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Huntington Ingalls Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Huntington Ingalls' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Huntington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Huntington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Huntington Ingalls Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Huntington Ingalls' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Huntington Ingalls.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Huntington Ingalls to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Huntington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Huntington Ingalls after-hype prediction price | USD 195.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Huntington |
Huntington Ingalls After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Huntington Ingalls at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntington Ingalls or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntington Ingalls, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Huntington Ingalls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Huntington Ingalls' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntington Ingalls' historical news coverage. Huntington Ingalls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 191.58 and 198.92, respectively. We have considered Huntington Ingalls' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Huntington Ingalls is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntington Ingalls is based on 3 months time horizon.
Huntington Ingalls Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Huntington Ingalls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntington Ingalls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntington Ingalls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 3.65 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
193.46 | 195.25 | 0.28 |
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Huntington Ingalls Hype Timeline
On the 17th of December 2024 Huntington Ingalls is traded for 193.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Huntington is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 195.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Huntington Ingalls is about 865.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 193.64. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.45 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 681 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.44 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Huntington Ingalls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Huntington Ingalls Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Huntington Ingalls' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. Getting to know how Huntington Ingalls' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntington Ingalls may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 3.78 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.36 | (1.70) | 9.77 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | (1.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.43 | (1.85) | 10.86 | |
| RTX | Raytheon Technologies Corp | 1.01 | 9 per month | 1.20 | (0.07) | 1.80 | (1.85) | 6.80 | |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | (2.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.19 | (1.97) | 8.70 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 2.47 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.53 | (1.78) | 6.85 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | 0.57 | 11 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 2.35 | (2.66) | 8.09 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | (1.16) | 10 per month | 1.97 | (0.03) | 3.15 | (3.88) | 12.14 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | (1.23) | 12 per month | 1.82 | 0.01 | 2.83 | (3.33) | 29.10 | |
| WWD | Woodward | (0.98) | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.01 | 2.52 | (1.93) | 8.86 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | (0.55) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.75 | (4.50) | 15.31 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.46 | 0.15 | 3.31 | (2.48) | 11.02 | |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc | 5.55 | 4 per month | 1.41 | (0.01) | 2.62 | (2.44) | 15.61 |
Huntington Ingalls Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Huntington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Huntington Ingalls Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Huntington Ingalls stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Huntington Ingalls Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Huntington Ingalls based on analysis of Huntington Ingalls hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Huntington Ingalls's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Huntington Ingalls's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0193 | 0.0183 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.9 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for Huntington Ingalls
The number of cover stories for Huntington Ingalls depends on current market conditions and Huntington Ingalls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Huntington Ingalls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Huntington Ingalls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Huntington Ingalls Short Properties
Huntington Ingalls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Huntington Ingalls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Huntington Ingalls Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Huntington Ingalls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntington Ingalls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 430 M |
Complementary Tools for Huntington Stock analysis
When running Huntington Ingalls' price analysis, check to measure Huntington Ingalls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huntington Ingalls is operating at the current time. Most of Huntington Ingalls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huntington Ingalls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huntington Ingalls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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