Krystal Biotech Stock Price Prediction
| KRYS Stock | USD 186.60 4.31 2.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2354 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7651 | Wall Street Target Price 207.7778 |
Using Krystal Biotech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Krystal Biotech from the perspective of Krystal Biotech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Krystal Biotech to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Krystal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Krystal Biotech after-hype prediction price | USD 182.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Krystal |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Krystal Biotech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Krystal Biotech After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Krystal Biotech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Krystal Biotech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Krystal Biotech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Krystal Biotech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Krystal Biotech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Krystal Biotech's historical news coverage. Krystal Biotech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.85 and 184.73, respectively. We have considered Krystal Biotech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Krystal Biotech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Krystal Biotech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Krystal Biotech Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Krystal Biotech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Krystal Biotech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Krystal Biotech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.44 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
186.60 | 182.29 | 0.00 |
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Krystal Biotech Hype Timeline
Krystal Biotech is now traded for 186.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Krystal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 126.42%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Krystal Biotech is about 193.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.75. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Krystal Biotech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Krystal Biotech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Krystal Biotech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Krystal Biotech's future price movements. Getting to know how Krystal Biotech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Krystal Biotech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MGTX | MeiraGTx Holdings PLC | 0.59 | 9 per month | 2.64 | 0.11 | 5.71 | (5.68) | 21.07 | |
| APLS | Apellis Pharmaceuticals | 2.68 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.00 | (5.17) | 15.97 | |
| DCPH | Deciphera Pharmaceuticals LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.27 | (3.25) | 9.66 | |
| RGNX | Regenxbio | (1.21) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.72 | (7.20) | 32.22 | |
| RYTM | Rhythm Pharmaceuticals | 4.26 | 9 per month | 2.56 | 0.10 | 7.37 | (4.90) | 17.61 |
Krystal Biotech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Krystal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Krystal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Krystal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Krystal Biotech Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Krystal Biotech stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Krystal Biotech, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Krystal Biotech based on analysis of Krystal Biotech hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Krystal Biotech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Krystal Biotech's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 272.39 | 242.13 | PTB Ratio | 4.33 | 4.11 |
Story Coverage note for Krystal Biotech
The number of cover stories for Krystal Biotech depends on current market conditions and Krystal Biotech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Krystal Biotech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Krystal Biotech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Krystal Biotech Short Properties
Krystal Biotech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Krystal Biotech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Krystal Biotech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Krystal Biotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krystal Biotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 532.2 M |
Additional Tools for Krystal Stock Analysis
When running Krystal Biotech's price analysis, check to measure Krystal Biotech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Krystal Biotech is operating at the current time. Most of Krystal Biotech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Krystal Biotech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Krystal Biotech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Krystal Biotech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.