Lincoln Educational Services Stock Price Prediction

LINC Stock  USD 16.35  0.20  1.24%   
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Lincoln Educational's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

83

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lincoln Educational's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lincoln Educational Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lincoln Educational's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.883
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.23
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.54
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.69
Wall Street Target Price
20
Using Lincoln Educational hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln Educational Services from the perspective of Lincoln Educational response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Lincoln Educational Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lincoln Educational's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln Educational Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln Educational's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln Educational.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lincoln Educational to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lincoln because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lincoln Educational after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lincoln Educational Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2812.8317.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7015.2617.81
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.4510.3811.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.240.14
Details

Lincoln Educational After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lincoln Educational at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln Educational or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln Educational, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lincoln Educational Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lincoln Educational's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln Educational's historical news coverage. Lincoln Educational's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.90 and 19.00, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Educational's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.35
16.45
After-hype Price
19.00
Upside
Lincoln Educational is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln Educational is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lincoln Educational Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln Educational is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln Educational backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln Educational, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.57
  0.09 
  0.26 
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.35
16.45
0.61 
1,285  
Notes

Lincoln Educational Hype Timeline

Lincoln Educational is now traded for 16.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Lincoln is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Educational is about 464.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.61. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 378.07 M. Net Income was 26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.54 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Lincoln Educational Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lincoln Educational Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln Educational's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln Educational's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln Educational's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln Educational may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VSTAVasta Platform(0.03)6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.60 (3.44) 19.49 
LAURLaureate Education 0.44 9 per month 1.00  0.14  3.14 (2.16) 12.04 
VTRUVitru(0.60)1 per month 3.63 (0.03) 5.28 (5.67) 19.54 
APEIAmerican Public Education 0.35 8 per month 2.19  0.12  6.03 (3.55) 21.66 
ATGEAdtalem Global Education(0.52)8 per month 1.61  0.09  2.81 (2.83) 15.11 
ARCEArco Platform(0.1)1 per month 1.05  0.07  3.61 (2.22) 17.65 
LOPEGrand Canyon Education 3.84 8 per month 1.03  0.06  2.20 (2.06) 17.79 
STRAStrategic Education 1.77 7 per month 1.18 (0.04) 1.61 (2.00) 11.39 
LRNStride Inc 1.29 9 per month 1.73  0.07  3.29 (2.32) 40.91 
AFYAAfya(0.35)7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.62 (4.21) 9.86 
BEDUBright Scholar Education(0.01)4 per month 3.20 (0.01) 5.56 (5.85) 18.70 

Lincoln Educational Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lincoln Educational Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lincoln Educational stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln Educational Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Educational based on analysis of Lincoln Educational hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln Educational's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln Educational's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0065060.0074140.0085270.0081
Price To Sales Ratio0.560.430.81.03

Story Coverage note for Lincoln Educational

The number of cover stories for Lincoln Educational depends on current market conditions and Lincoln Educational's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln Educational is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln Educational's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lincoln Educational Short Properties

Lincoln Educational's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln Educational's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln Educational Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln Educational's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln Educational's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76 M

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When running Lincoln Educational's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln Educational's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln Educational is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln Educational's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln Educational's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln Educational's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln Educational to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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