Lake Shore Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| LSBK Stock | USD 15.31 0.03 0.20% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.355 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 |
Using Lake Shore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lake Shore Bancorp from the perspective of Lake Shore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lake Shore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lake because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lake Shore after-hype prediction price | USD 15.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Lake Shore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Lake Shore After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lake Shore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lake Shore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lake Shore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lake Shore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lake Shore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lake Shore's historical news coverage. Lake Shore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.23 and 16.41, respectively. We have considered Lake Shore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lake Shore is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lake Shore Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lake Shore Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lake Shore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lake Shore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lake Shore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.31 | 15.32 | 0.07 |
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Lake Shore Hype Timeline
Lake Shore Bancorp is now traded for 15.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lake is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Lake Shore is about 1786.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.32. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.55 M. Net Income was 4.93 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.77 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lake Shore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lake Shore Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lake Shore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lake Shore's future price movements. Getting to know how Lake Shore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lake Shore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.00 | (1.15) | 6.34 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.26 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.01 | 1.81 | (2.09) | 6.78 | |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (2.50) | 9.27 | |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.77 | (0) | 1.34 | (1.04) | 4.66 | |
| UNB | Union Bankshares | 0.12 | 9 per month | 2.11 | (0.01) | 2.72 | (3.21) | 11.80 | |
| RBKB | Rhinebeck Bancorp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 3.65 | (2.18) | 9.17 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.01 | 2.12 | (2.18) | 13.88 | |
| FGBI | First Guaranty Bancshares | (0.07) | 8 per month | 4.70 | 0.03 | 5.38 | (7.07) | 21.15 | |
| SBFG | SB Financial Group | 0.30 | 11 per month | 2.20 | 0.09 | 4.58 | (3.96) | 10.33 | |
| BSBK | Bogota Financial Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.75 | (2.21) | 5.15 |
Lake Shore Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lake Shore Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lake Shore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lake Shore Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lake Shore based on analysis of Lake Shore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lake Shore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lake Shore's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.014 | 0.0213 | 0.0224 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.89 | 2.76 | 4.44 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Lake Shore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lake Shore. Expected growth trajectory for Lake significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Lake Shore assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.355 | Dividend Share 0.27 | Earnings Share 0.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 |
Lake Shore Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Lake's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Lake Shore's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Lake Shore's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Lake Shore's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lake Shore represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Lake Shore's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.