Sound Financial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| SFBC Stock | USD 53.57 0.43 0.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Sound Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sound Financial Bancorp from the perspective of Sound Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sound Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sound because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sound Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 53.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sound |
Sound Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sound Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sound Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sound Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sound Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sound Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sound Financial's historical news coverage. Sound Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.79 and 55.53, respectively. We have considered Sound Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sound Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sound Financial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sound Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sound Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sound Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sound Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.66 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.57 | 53.66 | 0.17 |
|
Sound Financial Hype Timeline
Sound Financial Bancorp is at this time traded for 53.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Sound is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 53.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Sound Financial is about 11066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.57. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.13 M. Net Income was 7.44 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.65 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Sound Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sound Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sound Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sound Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Sound Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sound Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | 0.59 | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.04 | 2.48 | (1.80) | 12.55 | |
| FRAF | Franklin Financial Services | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.05 | 0.05 | 1.52 | (1.16) | 9.44 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.64 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 3.82 | (4.31) | 21.70 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 3.69 | (2.95) | 8.55 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.11) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 6.22 | (3.53) | 14.42 |
Sound Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sound price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sound using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sound charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sound Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sound Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sound Financial Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sound Financial based on analysis of Sound Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sound Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sound Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0201 | 0.0191 | 0.0117 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.54 | 2.55 | 1.77 |
Story Coverage note for Sound Financial
The number of cover stories for Sound Financial depends on current market conditions and Sound Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sound Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sound Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sound Financial Short Properties
Sound Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sound Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sound Financial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sound Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sound Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Sound Stock analysis
When running Sound Financial's price analysis, check to measure Sound Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sound Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Sound Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sound Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sound Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sound Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas |