Lsi Industries Stock Price Prediction
| LYTS Stock | USD 20.75 0.15 0.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
86
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.93 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.06 | Wall Street Target Price 22.6667 |
Using LSI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LSI Industries from the perspective of LSI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LSI Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LSI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LSI Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 21.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LSI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LSI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LSI Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LSI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LSI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LSI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LSI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LSI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LSI Industries' historical news coverage. LSI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.30 and 23.08, respectively. We have considered LSI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LSI Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LSI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
LSI Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LSI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LSI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LSI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 1.89 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.75 | 21.19 | 2.12 |
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LSI Industries Hype Timeline
LSI Industries is now traded for 20.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. LSI is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 2.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on LSI Industries is about 308.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.04. LSI Industries currently holds 72.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out LSI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LSI Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LSI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LSI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LSI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LSI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (1.53) | 11 per month | 1.20 | 0.12 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 12.92 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 1.67 | 13 per month | 1.70 | 0.04 | 3.51 | (2.91) | 9.44 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 1.44 | 11 per month | 1.65 | 0.03 | 2.78 | (2.79) | 15.09 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | 1.01 | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 3.16 | (3.84) | 13.28 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | (1.02) | 10 per month | 3.21 | (0.01) | 7.64 | (5.30) | 18.54 | |
| BELFA | Bel Fuse A | (0.32) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 2.68 | (2.61) | 17.70 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | 5.67 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.03 | 2.35 | (2.64) | 15.90 | |
| BELFB | Bel Fuse B | (1.50) | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.07 | 3.00 | (2.86) | 20.73 | |
| RELL | Richardson Electronics | 0.10 | 11 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 11.38 |
LSI Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LSI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LSI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LSI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LSI Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LSI Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LSI Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LSI Industries based on analysis of LSI Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LSI Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LSI Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0316 | 0.0154 | 0.014 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.37 | 0.71 | 0.87 |
Story Coverage note for LSI Industries
The number of cover stories for LSI Industries depends on current market conditions and LSI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LSI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LSI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LSI Industries Short Properties
LSI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LSI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LSI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LSI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LSI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Additional Tools for LSI Stock Analysis
When running LSI Industries' price analysis, check to measure LSI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LSI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LSI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LSI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LSI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LSI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.