Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction
| MEI Stock | USD 12.00 0.36 3.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.82 | Wall Street Target Price 14 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.16) |
Using Methode Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Methode Electronics from the perspective of Methode Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Methode Electronics using Methode Electronics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Methode using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Methode Electronics' stock price.
Methode Electronics Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Methode Electronics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Methode. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Methode Electronics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 11.2179 | Short Percent 0.0655 | Short Ratio 4.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 11.7408 |
Methode Electronics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Methode Electronics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Methode. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Methode can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Methode Electronics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Methode Electronics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Methode Electronics.
Methode Electronics Implied Volatility | 1.22 |
Methode Electronics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Methode Electronics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Methode Electronics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Methode Electronics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Methode Electronics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Methode Electronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Methode because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Methode Electronics after-hype prediction price | USD 12.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Methode contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Methode Electronics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0763% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Methode Electronics trading at USD 12.0, that is roughly USD 0.00915 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Methode Electronics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Methode Electronics options at the current volatility level of 1.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Methode |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Methode Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Methode Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Methode Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Methode Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Methode Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Methode Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Methode Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Methode Electronics' historical news coverage. Methode Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.92 and 17.12, respectively. We have considered Methode Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Methode Electronics is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Methode Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Methode Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Methode Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Methode Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 4.57 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.00 | 12.52 | 2.12 |
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Methode Electronics Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Methode Electronics is traded for 12.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. Methode is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Methode Electronics is about 626.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.43. Methode Electronics has 358.2 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.25, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Methode Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Methode Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Methode Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Methode Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Methode Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Methode Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SANM | Sanmina | (2.22) | 8 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 2.50 | (2.37) | 19.29 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (0.28) | 4 per month | 1.99 | (0.01) | 3.05 | (3.23) | 18.05 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (1.67) | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.16 | 3.70 | (3.17) | 17.36 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 4.17 | 10 per month | 5.51 | 0.18 | 7.10 | (4.05) | 46.43 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | 1.95 | 10 per month | 2.41 | 0.01 | 2.35 | (2.93) | 20.07 | |
| BELFA | Bel Fuse A | 4.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.53 | (4.24) | 13.08 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.34 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.03 | 2.45 | (2.79) | 17.07 | |
| RELL | Richardson Electronics | (0.84) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.82 | (3.70) | 18.11 |
Methode Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Methode price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Methode using various technical indicators. When you analyze Methode charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Methode Electronics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Methode Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Methode Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Methode Electronics based on analysis of Methode Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Methode Electronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Methode Electronics's related companies. | 2011 | 2021 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.0459 | 0.0123 | 0.022 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.57 | 0.39 | 1.43 | 0.72 |
Story Coverage note for Methode Electronics
The number of cover stories for Methode Electronics depends on current market conditions and Methode Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Methode Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Methode Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Methode Electronics Short Properties
Methode Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Methode Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Methode Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Methode Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Methode Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Methode Stock analysis
When running Methode Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Methode Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Methode Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Methode Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Methode Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Methode Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Methode Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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