Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 9.42 17.18 20.85 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 6.18 9.85 13.51 Details

4 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 35.49 39.00 43.29 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.17 -0.16 -0.15 Details

Methode Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Methode Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.12	3.67	0.03	0.20	11 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
10.47	10.50	0.29	1,668   Notes

Methode Electronics Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Methode Electronics is traded for 10.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Methode is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Methode Electronics is about 221.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.11 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (123.3 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 264.6 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Methode Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Methode Stock please use our How to Invest in Methode Electronics guide.

Methode Electronics Related Hype Analysis

Methode Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Methode price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Methode using various technical indicators. When you analyze Methode charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Methode Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Methode Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Methode Electronics based on analysis of Methode Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Methode Electronics depends on current market conditions and Methode Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Methode Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Methode Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Methode Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Methode Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Methode Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Methode Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Methode Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Methode Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Methode Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Methode Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Methode Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Methode Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Methode Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Methode Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.