Lonza Group Ag Stock Price Prediction

LZAGY Stock  USD 59.63  1.14  1.95%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lonza Group's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lonza Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lonza Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lonza Group AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lonza Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lonza Group AG from the perspective of Lonza Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lonza Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lonza because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lonza Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lonza Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.8360.4962.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.8660.5262.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.0558.6060.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lonza Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lonza Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lonza Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lonza Group AG.

Lonza Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lonza Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lonza Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lonza Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lonza Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lonza Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lonza Group's historical news coverage. Lonza Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.97 and 61.29, respectively. We have considered Lonza Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.63
59.63
After-hype Price
61.29
Upside
Lonza Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lonza Group AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lonza Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lonza Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lonza Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lonza Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.66
 0.00  
  0.07 
0 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.63
59.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lonza Group Hype Timeline

Lonza Group AG is now traded for 59.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Lonza is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lonza Group is about 201.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.56. The book value of the company was now reported as 14.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Lonza Group AG last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The entity had 1099:1018 split on the 2nd of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Lonza Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lonza Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lonza Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lonza Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Lonza Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lonza Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RVTYRevvity(0.70)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.35 (2.84) 9.11 
SKHCFSonic Healthcare Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.03 (7.18) 19.67 
PSNLPersonalis 0.58 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 8.46 (9.47) 35.38 
APDNApplied DNA Sciences(0.13)6 per month 0.00 (0.32) 10.69 (21.05) 65.66 
PRPHProPhase Labs 0.07 6 per month 0.00 (0.19) 8.07 (7.02) 57.54 
DHRDanaher 3.60 11 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.47 (2.30) 7.35 
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific 1.98 9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.66 (1.98) 7.00 
IQVIQVIA Holdings(4.36)11 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.73 (4.05) 9.22 
MTDMettler Toledo International 3.82 7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.61 (3.37) 12.16 
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corp(3.62)10 per month 3.73  0.03  8.94 (6.21) 17.59 
WATWaters(6.86)8 per month 1.31  0.03  3.00 (2.31) 24.69 
ICLRICON PLC(3.98)11 per month 0.00 (0.21) 4.13 (4.22) 24.50 
SHCSotera Health Co 0.13 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.74 (3.99) 13.40 
SYNHSyneos Health 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.02) 2.13 (1.42) 9.20 
NEOGNeogen(0.48)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.09 (6.67) 12.51 
RDNTRadNet Inc(3.46)10 per month 1.84  0.08  3.77 (2.61) 22.33 
MYGNMyriad Genetics(0.57)12 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.24 (6.12) 27.15 

Lonza Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lonza price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lonza using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lonza charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lonza Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lonza Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lonza Group AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lonza Group based on analysis of Lonza Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lonza Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lonza Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lonza Group

The number of cover stories for Lonza Group depends on current market conditions and Lonza Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lonza Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lonza Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Lonza Group Short Properties

Lonza Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lonza Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lonza Group AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lonza Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lonza Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.2 M

Additional Tools for Lonza Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Lonza Group's price analysis, check to measure Lonza Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lonza Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lonza Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lonza Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lonza Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lonza Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.