MICROCHIP TECH (Germany) Price Patterns
| MCP Stock | EUR 66.10 1.24 1.84% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MICROCHIP TECH hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MICROCHIP TECH from the perspective of MICROCHIP TECH response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MICROCHIP TECH to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MICROCHIP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MICROCHIP TECH after-hype prediction price | EUR 67.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MICROCHIP |
MICROCHIP TECH After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MICROCHIP TECH at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MICROCHIP TECH or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MICROCHIP TECH, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MICROCHIP TECH Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MICROCHIP TECH's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MICROCHIP TECH's historical news coverage. MICROCHIP TECH's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.40 and 70.00, respectively. We have considered MICROCHIP TECH's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MICROCHIP TECH is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MICROCHIP TECH is based on 3 months time horizon.
MICROCHIP TECH Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MICROCHIP TECH is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MICROCHIP TECH backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MICROCHIP TECH, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 2.80 | 1.10 | 0.23 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
66.10 | 67.20 | 1.66 |
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MICROCHIP TECH Hype Timeline
MICROCHIP TECH is now traded for 66.10on Hamburg Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. MICROCHIP is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 175.0%. The price boost on the next news is expected to be 1.66%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on MICROCHIP TECH is about 856.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.87. The company reported the revenue of 4.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (500 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out MICROCHIP TECH Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MICROCHIP TECH Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MICROCHIP TECH's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MICROCHIP TECH's future price movements. Getting to know how MICROCHIP TECH's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MICROCHIP TECH may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABL | Abbott Laboratories | (1.21) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.91 | (2.11) | 14.56 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (1.30) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.33 | (5.57) | 24.55 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | 0.44 | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| W8V | BANK OF CHINA | 0.00 | 5 per month | 2.81 | 0.01 | 2.08 | (2.04) | 24.03 | |
| TOTB | TotalEnergies SE | 0.20 | 2 per month | 0.86 | 0.19 | 2.23 | (1.62) | 5.97 | |
| AMG | Amgen Inc | 4.91 | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.08 | 3.98 | (2.86) | 10.70 | |
| HBC1 | HSBC HLDG | (0.06) | 3 per month | 1.30 | 0.12 | 2.99 | (2.05) | 8.75 | |
| HK2C | Hong Kong Exchanges | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.49 | (1.47) | 5.73 | |
| SEH | SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL | (0.27) | 3 per month | 2.08 | 0.11 | 3.96 | (3.90) | 10.05 | |
| CFX | Capital One Financial | (6.00) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.43 | (6.04) | 12.64 |
MICROCHIP TECH Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MICROCHIP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MICROCHIP using various technical indicators. When you analyze MICROCHIP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MICROCHIP TECH Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MICROCHIP TECH stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MICROCHIP TECH, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MICROCHIP TECH based on analysis of MICROCHIP TECH hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MICROCHIP TECH's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MICROCHIP TECH's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetOther Information on Investing in MICROCHIP Stock
MICROCHIP TECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether MICROCHIP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MICROCHIP with respect to the benefits of owning MICROCHIP TECH security.