Magna International Stock Price Prediction

MGA Stock  USD 52.31  1.24  2.32%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Magna International's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Magna, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Magna International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Magna International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Magna International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.36)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.7041
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.345
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9768
Wall Street Target Price
55.6471
Using Magna International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Magna International from the perspective of Magna International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Magna International using Magna International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Magna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Magna International's stock price.

Magna International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Magna International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Magna. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Magna International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
44.2208
Short Percent
0.0229
Short Ratio
4.68
Shares Short Prior Month
7.7 M
50 Day MA
52.2488

Magna International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Magna International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Magna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Magna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Magna International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Magna International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Magna International.

Magna International Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
Magna International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Magna International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Magna International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Magna International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Magna International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Magna International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Magna because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Magna International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 52.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Magna contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Magna International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Magna International trading at USD 52.31, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Magna International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Magna International options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Magna International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Magna Stock refer to our How to Trade Magna Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.0860.7262.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.7652.5354.31
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.6455.6561.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.861.111.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Magna International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Magna International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Magna International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Magna International.

Magna International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Magna International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Magna International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Magna International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Magna International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Magna International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Magna International's historical news coverage. Magna International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.54 and 54.08, respectively. We have considered Magna International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
52.31
52.31
After-hype Price
54.08
Upside
Magna International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Magna International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Magna International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Magna International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magna International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Magna International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.64
  0.43 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.31
52.31
0.00 
76.28  
Notes

Magna International Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Magna International is traded for 52.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Magna is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 76.28%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Magna International is about 1357.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.29. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Magna International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of March 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Magna International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Magna Stock refer to our How to Trade Magna Stock guide.

Magna International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Magna International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Magna International's future price movements. Getting to know how Magna International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Magna International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings 0.44 1 per month 0.82  0.24  3.31 (1.54) 6.81 
APTVAptiv PLC(1.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.41 (4.26) 11.51 
LKQLKQ Corporation 0.44 1 per month 1.70  0.03  3.36 (2.55) 9.62 
LEALear Corporation(1.82)8 per month 1.27  0.11  3.50 (2.18) 8.69 
BWABorgWarner(0.42)8 per month 1.56  0.06  3.51 (2.90) 8.11 
ALVAutoliv 0.44 4 per month 1.27  0.06  2.85 (2.47) 6.91 
VCVisteon Corp(0.64)7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.85 (3.27) 8.62 
GNTXGentex(1.47)13 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.63 (2.24) 10.19 
ADNTAdient PLC(0.08)23 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.13 (5.12) 21.07 
FOXFFox Factory Holding 1.93 15 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.90 (5.07) 28.69 
DANDana Inc 0.18 5 per month 1.34  0.20  5.08 (3.03) 12.93 
DORMDorman Products(1.47)26 per month 0.00 (0.20) 3.17 (2.64) 11.56 
AXLAmerican Axle Manufacturing 1.93 11 per month 2.36  0.10  6.86 (4.01) 13.56 

Magna International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Magna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Magna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Magna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Magna International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Magna International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Magna International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Magna International based on analysis of Magna International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Magna International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Magna International's related companies.
 2023 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03090.0517
Price To Sales Ratio0.40.32

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When running Magna International's price analysis, check to measure Magna International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magna International is operating at the current time. Most of Magna International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magna International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magna International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magna International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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