Mueller Water Products Stock Price Prediction
| MWA Stock | USD 26.96 0.25 0.94% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.511 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2675 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.51 | Wall Street Target Price 27.6667 |
Using Mueller Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mueller Water Products from the perspective of Mueller Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mueller Water using Mueller Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mueller using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mueller Water's stock price.
Mueller Water Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Mueller Water's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Mueller. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Mueller Water stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.0926 | Short Percent 0.0371 | Short Ratio 3.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 24.7296 |
Mueller Water Products Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mueller Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mueller. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mueller can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mueller Water Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mueller Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mueller Water.
Mueller Water Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Mueller Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mueller Water Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mueller Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mueller Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mueller Water's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mueller Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mueller because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mueller Water after-hype prediction price | USD 26.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mueller contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mueller Water Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Mueller Water trading at USD 26.96, that is roughly USD 0.0115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mueller Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mueller Water Products options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Mueller Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mueller Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mueller Water After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mueller Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mueller Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mueller Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mueller Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mueller Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mueller Water's historical news coverage. Mueller Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.43 and 28.39, respectively. We have considered Mueller Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mueller Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mueller Water Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mueller Water Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mueller Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mueller Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mueller Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.48 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.96 | 26.91 | 0.75 |
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Mueller Water Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Mueller Water Products is traded for 26.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Mueller is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Mueller Water is about 200.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.02. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.43 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 191.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 520.8 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Mueller Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mueller Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mueller Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mueller Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Mueller Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mueller Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.56 | (1.83) | 6.31 | |
| CSW | CSW Industrials | (9.65) | 12 per month | 1.97 | 0.11 | 4.21 | (4.01) | 13.68 | |
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 1.29 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.60 | (4.02) | 8.12 | |
| KAI | Kadant Inc | 11.16 | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.03 | 4.03 | (2.93) | 10.20 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | (0.22) | 13 per month | 1.29 | 0 | 1.79 | (2.27) | 8.59 | |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies | (1.27) | 9 per month | 1.28 | 0.15 | 3.33 | (2.41) | 8.91 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | (0.80) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.76 | (5.25) | 15.73 | |
| SKYW | SkyWest | 2.51 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (2.46) | 11.11 | |
| AGX | Argan Inc | 4.32 | 11 per month | 3.76 | 0.09 | 7.40 | (7.35) | 22.90 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.91 | (1.90) | 14.48 |
Mueller Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mueller price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mueller using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mueller charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mueller Water Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mueller Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mueller Water Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mueller Water based on analysis of Mueller Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mueller Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mueller Water's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0118 | 0.0105 | 0.0121 | 0.0115 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.57 | 2.79 | 2.51 | 2.64 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Mueller Stock analysis
When running Mueller Water's price analysis, check to measure Mueller Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mueller Water is operating at the current time. Most of Mueller Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mueller Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mueller Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mueller Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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