National Bank Holdings Stock Price Prediction

NBHC Stock  USD 40.31  0.02  0.05%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of National Bank's stock price is about 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling National, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Bank Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting National Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.07
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.845
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2725
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.665
Wall Street Target Price
45.75
Using National Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Bank Holdings from the perspective of National Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National Bank using National Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National Bank's stock price.

National Bank Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in National Bank's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards National. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of National Bank stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
37.8564
Short Percent
0.0197
Short Ratio
1.68
Shares Short Prior Month
703.3 K
50 Day MA
38.7398

National Bank Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to National Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Bank Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Bank.

National Bank Implied Volatility

    
  0.87  
National Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Bank Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Bank's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

National Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current National contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that National Bank Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With National Bank trading at USD 40.31, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating National Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring National Bank Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out National Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.8739.5041.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.4942.1243.75
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.6345.7550.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.820.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in National Bank Holdings.

National Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of National Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

National Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting National Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Bank's historical news coverage. National Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.68 and 41.94, respectively. We have considered National Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.31
40.31
After-hype Price
41.94
Upside
National Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Bank Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

National Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.57
  0.09 
  0.04 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.31
40.31
0.00 
373.81  
Notes

National Bank Hype Timeline

National Bank Holdings is now traded for 40.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. National is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on National Bank is about 835.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.27. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Bank Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out National Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to National Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how National Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QCRHQCR Holdings(0.44)17 per month 1.09  0.15  3.55 (1.74) 8.45 
STBAST Bancorp 0.04 8 per month 1.36  0.1  2.62 (2.81) 6.81 
HOPEHope Bancorp(0.14)9 per month 1.12  0.07  3.37 (1.97) 9.64 
TCBKTriCo Bancshares 0.13 8 per month 1.04  0.12  3.41 (1.67) 7.18 
SRCE1st Source(0.27)9 per month 1.01  0.08  2.95 (2.08) 6.47 
BYByline Bancorp(0.44)18 per month 1.04  0.1  2.82 (1.88) 9.25 
LKFNLakeland Financial(0.78)9 per month 1.39 (0.03) 3.46 (2.49) 7.97 
MBINMerchants Bancorp 1.11 8 per month 1.76  0.05  3.89 (2.97) 8.63 
STELStellar Bancorp(0.65)4 per month 0.95  0.05  2.20 (1.75) 8.20 
WAFDWashington Federal(0.44)11 per month 1.46  0.06  3.19 (2.74) 7.68 

National Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About National Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of National Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Bank Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Bank based on analysis of National Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Bank's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02810.02610.02350.013
Price To Sales Ratio2.552.773.183.02

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Bank's price analysis, check to measure National Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Bank is operating at the current time. Most of National Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years