National Healthcare Stock Price Prediction
| NHC Stock | USD 143.04 2.69 1.85% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Wall Street Target Price 6.15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using National HealthCare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National HealthCare from the perspective of National HealthCare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National HealthCare using National HealthCare's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National HealthCare's stock price.
National HealthCare Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in National HealthCare's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards National. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of National HealthCare stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 105.0966 | Short Percent 0.0297 | Short Ratio 4.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 330.3 K | 50 Day MA 120.9438 |
National HealthCare Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to National HealthCare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National HealthCare. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National HealthCare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National HealthCare.
National HealthCare Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
National HealthCare's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National HealthCare stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National HealthCare's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National HealthCare stock will not fluctuate a lot when National HealthCare's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National HealthCare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
National HealthCare after-hype prediction price | USD 142.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current National contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that National HealthCare will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With National HealthCare trading at USD 143.04, that is roughly USD 0.0268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating National HealthCare's daily price movement you should consider acquiring National HealthCare options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out National HealthCare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. National HealthCare After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National HealthCare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National HealthCare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National HealthCare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National HealthCare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National HealthCare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National HealthCare's historical news coverage. National HealthCare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 140.60 and 144.00, respectively. We have considered National HealthCare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National HealthCare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National HealthCare is based on 3 months time horizon.
National HealthCare Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National HealthCare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National HealthCare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National HealthCare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.70 | 0.74 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
143.04 | 142.30 | 0.52 |
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National HealthCare Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January National HealthCare is traded for 143.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. National is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 142.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.56%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on National HealthCare is about 2698.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 143.02. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of National HealthCare was now reported as 67.87. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.48. National HealthCare last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 24th of June 1985. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out National HealthCare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.National HealthCare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National HealthCare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National HealthCare's future price movements. Getting to know how National HealthCare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National HealthCare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (0.76) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.71 | (7.64) | 21.29 | |
| MD | Mednax Inc | 0.75 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.1 | 3.16 | (3.02) | 28.51 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | 0.24 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.04 | 2.64 | (2.37) | 13.50 | |
| AVAH | Aveanna Healthcare Holdings | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.50 | (5.27) | 15.54 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | (0.55) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.84 | (3.16) | 11.54 | |
| BKD | Brookdale Senior Living | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.28 | 4.17 | (1.70) | 9.26 | |
| LFST | Lifestance Health Group | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.13 | 3.26 | (2.35) | 32.75 | |
| ARDT | Ardent Health Partners | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.47 | (3.69) | 36.66 | |
| ASTH | Astrana Health | 0.70 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.14 | (7.16) | 29.14 | |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services | (1.38) | 12 per month | 2.39 | 0.06 | 4.18 | (3.61) | 13.96 |
National HealthCare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About National HealthCare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of National HealthCare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National HealthCare, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National HealthCare based on analysis of National HealthCare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National HealthCare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National HealthCare's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0223 | 0.0257 | 0.0244 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.28 | 1.15 | 0.64 |
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| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National HealthCare's price analysis, check to measure National HealthCare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National HealthCare is operating at the current time. Most of National HealthCare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National HealthCare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National HealthCare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National HealthCare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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