Nokia Stock Price Prediction

NOKBF Stock  USD 4.20  0.07  1.69%   
As of 28th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nokia's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nokia, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nokia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nokia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nokia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nokia, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nokia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nokia from the perspective of Nokia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nokia to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nokia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nokia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nokia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.283.656.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.804.176.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.024.314.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nokia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nokia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nokia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nokia.

Nokia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nokia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nokia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nokia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nokia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nokia's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nokia's historical news coverage. Nokia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.83 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered Nokia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.20
4.20
After-hype Price
6.57
Upside
Nokia is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nokia is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nokia Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nokia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nokia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nokia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.37
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.20
4.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nokia Hype Timeline

Nokia is now traded for 4.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Nokia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nokia is about 849.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.19. About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nokia last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. The entity had 4:1 split on the 10th of April 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Nokia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nokia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nokia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nokia's future price movements. Getting to know how Nokia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nokia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Nokia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nokia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nokia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nokia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nokia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nokia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nokia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nokia based on analysis of Nokia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nokia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nokia's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nokia

The number of cover stories for Nokia depends on current market conditions and Nokia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nokia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nokia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Nokia Short Properties

Nokia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nokia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nokia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nokia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nokia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 B

Complementary Tools for Nokia Pink Sheet analysis

When running Nokia's price analysis, check to measure Nokia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nokia is operating at the current time. Most of Nokia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nokia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nokia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nokia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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