Netscout Systems Stock Price Prediction
| NTCT Stock | USD 21.81 0.25 1.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.17 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.13 | Wall Street Target Price 21.775 |
Using NetScout Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NetScout Systems from the perspective of NetScout Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
NetScout Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NetScout Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NetScout. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NetScout can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NetScout Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NetScout Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NetScout Systems.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NetScout Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NetScout because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NetScout Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 21.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NetScout |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetScout Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NetScout Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NetScout Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NetScout Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NetScout Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NetScout Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NetScout Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NetScout Systems' historical news coverage. NetScout Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.74 and 23.84, respectively. We have considered NetScout Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NetScout Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NetScout Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
NetScout Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NetScout Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NetScout Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NetScout Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.05 | 0.02 | 0.21 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.81 | 21.79 | 0.09 |
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NetScout Systems Hype Timeline
NetScout Systems is now traded for 21.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. NetScout is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on NetScout Systems is about 89.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.60. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NetScout Systems has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. The entity recorded a loss per share of 8.39. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out NetScout Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NetScout Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NetScout Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NetScout Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how NetScout Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NetScout Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRGS | Progress Software | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.70 | 0.10 | 2.49 | (1.37) | 14.18 | |
| CVLT | CommVault Systems | (3.81) | 11 per month | 2.61 | 0.05 | 4.06 | (4.03) | 28.40 | |
| BLKB | Blackbaud | (2.41) | 9 per month | 2.92 | 0.02 | 2.93 | (2.08) | 18.39 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | (0.83) | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.09 | 3.72 | (2.98) | 12.56 | |
| NSIT | Insight Enterprises | (4.55) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.59 | (3.48) | 17.36 |
NetScout Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NetScout price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NetScout using various technical indicators. When you analyze NetScout charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About NetScout Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NetScout Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NetScout Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NetScout Systems based on analysis of NetScout Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NetScout Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NetScout Systems's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.75 | 13.54 | 12.92 | 7.05 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 48.09 | 29.38 | 27.45 | 26.08 |
Story Coverage note for NetScout Systems
The number of cover stories for NetScout Systems depends on current market conditions and NetScout Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NetScout Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NetScout Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NetScout Systems Short Properties
NetScout Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when NetScout Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NetScout Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NetScout Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetScout Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 423.1 M |
Additional Tools for NetScout Stock Analysis
When running NetScout Systems' price analysis, check to measure NetScout Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NetScout Systems is operating at the current time. Most of NetScout Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NetScout Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NetScout Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NetScout Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.