Nvent Electric Plc Stock Price Prediction
| NVT Stock | USD 78.34 0.38 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.499 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9994 | Wall Street Target Price 80.44 |
Using NVent Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of nVent Electric PLC from the perspective of NVent Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NVent Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NVent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NVent Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 77.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NVent |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVent Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVent Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NVent Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NVent Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NVent Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NVent Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NVent Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NVent Electric's historical news coverage. NVent Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.43 and 80.49, respectively. We have considered NVent Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NVent Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of nVent Electric PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
NVent Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NVent Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NVent Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NVent Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.53 | 0.94 | 0.21 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.34 | 77.96 | 0.00 |
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NVent Electric Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November nVent Electric PLC is traded for 78.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. NVent is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 80.83%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on NVent Electric is about 366.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.55. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of NVent Electric was now reported as 19.92. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of October 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out NVent Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NVent Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NVent Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NVent Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how NVent Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NVent Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUBB | Hubbell | 10.73 | 11 per month | 1.36 | 0.12 | 3.09 | (2.12) | 10.41 | |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries | 1.20 | 10 per month | 1.91 | (0.02) | 3.85 | (2.92) | 9.74 | |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | (1.46) | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.25 | 5.87 | (3.65) | 16.98 | |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings | 0.60 | 12 per month | 1.05 | 0.15 | 2.67 | (1.29) | 12.72 | |
| ENS | Enersys | (1.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.14 | (2.35) | 8.90 | |
| AYI | Acuity Brands | 1.23 | 10 per month | 0.90 | 0.19 | 2.82 | (2.02) | 11.12 | |
| WIRE | Encore Wire | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.53 | 0.03 | 1.78 | (1.25) | 12.89 | |
| KE | Kimball Electronics | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.01 | 3.85 | (3.18) | 11.84 | |
| HOLI | Hollysys Automation Technologies | (0.62) | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.01 | 2.60 | (3.35) | 19.49 | |
| ESP | Espey Mfg Electronics | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.98 | 0.09 | 4.89 | (3.29) | 26.01 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | (2.97) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.06 | 3.21 | (2.61) | 11.72 |
NVent Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NVent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NVent using various technical indicators. When you analyze NVent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NVent Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NVent Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as nVent Electric PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NVent Electric based on analysis of NVent Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NVent Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NVent Electric's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0184 | 0.0183 | 0.0119 | 0.0223 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.59 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.82 |
Story Coverage note for NVent Electric
The number of cover stories for NVent Electric depends on current market conditions and NVent Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NVent Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NVent Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NVent Electric Short Properties
NVent Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when NVent Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of nVent Electric PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NVent Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NVent Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 185.1 M |
Additional Tools for NVent Stock Analysis
When running NVent Electric's price analysis, check to measure NVent Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVent Electric is operating at the current time. Most of NVent Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVent Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVent Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVent Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.