Organigram Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| OGI Stock | USD 1.29 0.01 0.78% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.092 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.018 | Wall Street Target Price 8.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.487 |
Using OrganiGram Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OrganiGram Holdings from the perspective of OrganiGram Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OrganiGram Holdings using OrganiGram Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OrganiGram using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OrganiGram Holdings' stock price.
OrganiGram Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in OrganiGram Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards OrganiGram. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of OrganiGram Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.5639 | Short Percent 0.0592 | Short Ratio 2.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 1.66 |
OrganiGram Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to OrganiGram Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OrganiGram. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OrganiGram can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OrganiGram Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OrganiGram Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OrganiGram Holdings.
OrganiGram Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.98 |
OrganiGram Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OrganiGram Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OrganiGram Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OrganiGram Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when OrganiGram Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OrganiGram Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OrganiGram because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OrganiGram Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OrganiGram contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OrganiGram Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OrganiGram Holdings trading at USD 1.29, that is roughly USD 0.001596 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OrganiGram Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring OrganiGram Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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OrganiGram Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OrganiGram Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OrganiGram Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OrganiGram Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OrganiGram Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OrganiGram Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OrganiGram Holdings' historical news coverage. OrganiGram Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.65, respectively. We have considered OrganiGram Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OrganiGram Holdings is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OrganiGram Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
OrganiGram Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OrganiGram Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OrganiGram Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OrganiGram Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 4.42 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 24 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 24 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.29 | 1.26 | 2.33 |
|
OrganiGram Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 OrganiGram Holdings is traded for 1.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. OrganiGram is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on OrganiGram Holdings is about 11945.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.30. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OrganiGram Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:4 split on the 7th of July 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 24 days. Check out OrganiGram Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OrganiGram Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OrganiGram Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OrganiGram Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OrganiGram Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OrganiGram Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DERM | Journey Medical Corp | (0.23) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.40 | (5.29) | 16.43 | |
| INFU | InfuSystems Holdings | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.57 | (4.36) | 11.52 | |
| ACB | Aurora Cannabis | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.14 | (5.44) | 30.41 | |
| HSDT | Helius Medical Technologies | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 13.03 | (10.79) | 29.52 | |
| RNAC | Cartesian Therapeutics | (0.14) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.26 | (8.08) | 28.90 | |
| OBIO | Orchestra BioMed Holdings | (0.16) | 8 per month | 4.22 | 0.01 | 10.17 | (6.43) | 22.05 | |
| IVA | Inventiva Sa | 0.06 | 6 per month | 3.26 | 0.18 | 9.41 | (6.05) | 20.30 | |
| SXTC | China SXT Pharmaceuticals | 1.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 18.34 | (32.31) | 106.44 | |
| LFCR | Lifecore Biomedical | (0.13) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.63 | (4.30) | 16.31 | |
| ELMD | Electromed | (0.05) | 11 per month | 3.21 | (0.01) | 4.08 | (5.15) | 15.02 |
OrganiGram Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OrganiGram price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OrganiGram using various technical indicators. When you analyze OrganiGram charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OrganiGram Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OrganiGram Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OrganiGram Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OrganiGram Holdings based on analysis of OrganiGram Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OrganiGram Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OrganiGram Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 84.84 | 91.34 | 116.08 | 113.43 | PTB Ratio | 0.76 | 1.03 | 0.86 | 0.82 |
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When running OrganiGram Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OrganiGram Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OrganiGram Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OrganiGram Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OrganiGram Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OrganiGram Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OrganiGram Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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