Orion Office Reit Stock Price Prediction

ONL Stock  USD 4.05  0.01  0.25%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Orion Office's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orion Office, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orion Office's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orion Office and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orion Office's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orion Office Reit, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Orion Office's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Using Orion Office hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orion Office Reit from the perspective of Orion Office response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Orion Office using Orion Office's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Orion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Orion Office's stock price.

Orion Office Implied Volatility

    
  0.92  
Orion Office's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orion Office Reit stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orion Office's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orion Office stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orion Office's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Orion Office to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Orion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Orion Office after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Orion Office Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.905.027.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.793.926.04
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details

Orion Office After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Orion Office at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orion Office or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orion Office, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Orion Office Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Orion Office's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orion Office's historical news coverage. Orion Office's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.96 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered Orion Office's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.05
4.08
After-hype Price
6.20
Upside
Orion Office is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orion Office Reit is based on 3 months time horizon.

Orion Office Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orion Office is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orion Office backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orion Office, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.12
  0.03 
  0.02 
4 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.05
4.08
0.74 
1,413  
Notes

Orion Office Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February Orion Office Reit is traded for 4.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Orion is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Orion Office is about 2296.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.07. The company reported the last year's revenue of 195.04 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (57.3 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 106.27 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Orion Office Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Orion Office Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Orion Office's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orion Office's future price movements. Getting to know how Orion Office's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orion Office may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BDNBrandywine Realty Trust 0.03 7 per month 2.25  0.03  3.70 (3.14) 10.93 
HPPHudson Pacific Properties(0.55)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 8.13 (7.62) 25.79 
PDMPiedmont Office Realty 0.22 11 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.39 (3.79) 10.92 
CIO-PACity Office REIT 0.00 0 per month 1.06  0.01  2.20 (2.07) 6.61 
FSPFranklin Street Properties 0.06 5 per month 2.64  0.01  5.03 (4.12) 18.30 
CUZCousins Properties Incorporated(0.38)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.89 (2.80) 8.87 
HIWHighwoods Properties 0.43 8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.53 (2.83) 6.40 
OFCCorporate Office Properties 0.77 2 per month 1.30  0.07  3.10 (2.44) 6.24 
DEAEerly Govt Ppty(0.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.22) 2.08 (2.86) 7.28 
CIOCity Office(0.11)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.57 (4.47) 13.60 
DEIDouglas Emmett 0.30 8 per month 2.80 (0.02) 3.09 (4.39) 11.24 
EQCEquity Commonwealth 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.38 (2.23) 94.26 
KRCKilroy Realty Corp 0.48 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.37 (3.90) 12.11 

Orion Office Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Orion Office Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Orion Office stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Orion Office Reit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orion Office based on analysis of Orion Office hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Orion Office's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orion Office's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03510.07030.06320.096
Price To Sales Ratio2.321.651.891.8

Story Coverage note for Orion Office

The number of cover stories for Orion Office depends on current market conditions and Orion Office's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orion Office is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orion Office's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Orion Office Short Properties

Orion Office's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orion Office's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orion Office Reit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orion Office's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orion Office's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.5 M
When determining whether Orion Office Reit is a strong investment it is important to analyze Orion Office's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Orion Office's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Orion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Orion Office Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Office. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Office listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(1.55)
Revenue Per Share
3.037
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Orion Office Reit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Office's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Office's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Office's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Office's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Office's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Office is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Office's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.