Orion Office Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ONL Stock  USD 2.19  0.05  2.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orion Office Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.55. Orion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Orion Office's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Orion Office's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Orion Office fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Orion Office's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orion Office, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orion Office's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orion Office and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orion Office's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orion Office Reit, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Orion Office's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using Orion Office hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orion Office Reit from the perspective of Orion Office response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Orion Office using Orion Office's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Orion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Orion Office's stock price.

Orion Office Implied Volatility

    
  1.5  
Orion Office's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orion Office Reit stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orion Office's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orion Office stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orion Office's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orion Office Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.55.

Orion Office after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orion Office to cross-verify your projections.
Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 114.22 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 5.64. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 61 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (88.1 M) this year.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Orion Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Orion Office's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Orion Office's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Orion Office stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Orion Office's open interest, investors have to compare it to Orion Office's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Orion Office is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Orion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Orion Office Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Orion Office Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Orion Office's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
17.9 M
Current Value
19.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
10.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Orion Office is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Orion Office Reit value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Orion Office Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orion Office Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orion Office's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orion Office Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orion OfficeOrion Office Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Orion Office Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orion Office's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orion Office's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.51, respectively. We have considered Orion Office's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.19
2.14
Expected Value
4.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orion Office stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orion Office stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0551
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0412
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5535
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Orion Office Reit. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Orion Office. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Orion Office

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orion Office Reit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.194.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.254.61
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Orion Office

For every potential investor in Orion, whether a beginner or expert, Orion Office's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orion Office's price trends.

Orion Office Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orion Office stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orion Office could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Office by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orion Office Reit Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orion Office's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orion Office's current price.

Orion Office Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orion Office stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orion Office shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orion Office stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orion Office Reit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orion Office Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orion Office's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orion Office's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Orion Office Reit is a strong investment it is important to analyze Orion Office's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Orion Office's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Orion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orion Office to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Office. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Office listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.16
Earnings Share
(2.42)
Revenue Per Share
2.668
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.0005)
The market value of Orion Office Reit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Office's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Office's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Office's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Office's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Office's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Office is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Office's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.