Plains Gp Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| PAGP Stock | USD 20.33 0.01 0.05% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.502 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5125 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6025 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9975 | Wall Street Target Price 20.8846 |
Using Plains GP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plains GP Holdings from the perspective of Plains GP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Plains GP using Plains GP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Plains using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Plains GP's stock price.
Plains GP Short Interest
An investor who is long Plains GP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Plains GP and may potentially protect profits, hedge Plains GP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 18.6491 | Short Percent 0.0518 | Short Ratio 7.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.1 M | 50 Day MA 18.933 |
Plains GP Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Plains GP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Plains. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Plains can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Plains GP Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Plains GP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Plains GP.
Plains GP Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Plains GP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Plains GP Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Plains GP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Plains GP stock will not fluctuate a lot when Plains GP's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Plains GP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Plains because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Plains GP after-hype prediction price | USD 20.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Plains contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Plains GP Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Plains GP trading at USD 20.33, that is roughly USD 0.004828 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Plains GP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Plains GP Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Plains GP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Plains GP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Plains GP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plains GP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plains GP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plains GP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Plains GP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plains GP's historical news coverage. Plains GP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.49 and 21.17, respectively. We have considered Plains GP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Plains GP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plains GP Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Plains GP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plains GP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plains GP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plains GP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.33 | 20.33 | 0.00 |
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Plains GP Hype Timeline
Plains GP Holdings is at this time traded for 20.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Plains is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Plains GP is about 424.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.28. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Plains GP was at this time reported as 6.8. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. Plains GP Holdings last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 375:1000 split on the 16th of November 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Plains GP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Plains GP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Plains GP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plains GP's future price movements. Getting to know how Plains GP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plains GP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPOR | Gulfport Energy Operating | (2.87) | 15 per month | 2.38 | 0.01 | 3.11 | (3.84) | 13.69 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (0.85) | 10 per month | 1.69 | (0.01) | 3.24 | (2.67) | 12.30 | |
| RIG | Transocean | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.19 | 5.53 | (3.37) | 20.08 | |
| KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | 0.17 | 3 per month | 1.89 | 0.08 | 3.17 | (2.63) | 9.67 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.30 | 0.07 | 2.18 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corp | 1.65 | 23 per month | 2.65 | 0.07 | 5.97 | (4.16) | 15.25 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | (1.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.40 | (4.12) | 14.85 | |
| WHD | Cactus Inc | 0.53 | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.23 | 3.80 | (2.76) | 11.21 | |
| SEI | Solaris Energy Infrastructure | 0.17 | 30 per month | 4.39 | 0.02 | 6.50 | (5.71) | 21.92 | |
| HP | Helmerich and Payne | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.17 | 4.39 | (4.04) | 14.89 |
Plains GP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plains price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plains using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plains charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Plains GP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Plains GP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Plains GP Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Plains GP based on analysis of Plains GP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Plains GP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Plains GP's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0672 | 0.0693 | 0.0797 | 0.12 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0638 | 0.0723 | 0.0832 | 0.095 |
Pair Trading with Plains GP
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Plains GP position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Plains GP will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Plains Stock
| 0.8 | KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | NVGS | Navigator Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | PHXHF | PHX Energy Services | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | INTC | Intel Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | MTRT | Metal Arts | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Plains GP could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Plains GP when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Plains GP - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Plains GP Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Plains GP is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Plains GP moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Plains GP Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Plains GP can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Plains Stock Analysis
When running Plains GP's price analysis, check to measure Plains GP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plains GP is operating at the current time. Most of Plains GP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plains GP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plains GP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plains GP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.