Ponce Financial Group Stock Price Prediction

PDLB Stock  USD 13.20  0.27  2.09%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ponce Financial's stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ponce, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ponce Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ponce Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ponce Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.07
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.43
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.37
Wall Street Target Price
13
Using Ponce Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ponce Financial Group from the perspective of Ponce Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ponce Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ponce because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ponce Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ponce Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8911.7113.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7412.5614.37
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.070.11
Details

Ponce Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ponce Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ponce Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ponce Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ponce Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ponce Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ponce Financial's historical news coverage. Ponce Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.12 and 14.76, respectively. We have considered Ponce Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.20
12.94
After-hype Price
14.76
Upside
Ponce Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ponce Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ponce Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ponce Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ponce Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ponce Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.84
  0.02 
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.20
12.94
0.08 
3,680  
Notes

Ponce Financial Hype Timeline

Ponce Financial Group is at this time traded for 13.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Ponce is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Ponce Financial is about 1616.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 73.87 M. Net Income was 3.35 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.98 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Ponce Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ponce Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ponce Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ponce Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ponce Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ponce Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.16 7 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.36 (1.13) 4.32 
FINWFinwise Bancorp(0.03)9 per month 0.28  0.25  4.46 (1.88) 7.72 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 8 per month 0.43  0.1  1.90 (1.22) 3.88 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.36 (0.01) 3.69 (3.23) 8.64 
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services(0.05)5 per month 0.76  0.12  3.30 (2.01) 11.09 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.39)6 per month 1.68  0.01  4.14 (2.96) 11.90 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp(0.40)6 per month 0.64  0.04  2.06 (1.09) 9.94 

Ponce Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ponce price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ponce using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ponce charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ponce Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ponce Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ponce Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ponce Financial based on analysis of Ponce Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ponce Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ponce Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
PB Ratio1.280.430.45
Capex To Depreciation1.690.120.0908

Story Coverage note for Ponce Financial

The number of cover stories for Ponce Financial depends on current market conditions and Ponce Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ponce Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ponce Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ponce Financial Short Properties

Ponce Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ponce Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ponce Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ponce Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ponce Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments148.8 M

Complementary Tools for Ponce Stock analysis

When running Ponce Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ponce Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ponce Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ponce Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ponce Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ponce Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ponce Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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