Philip Morris International Stock Price Patterns
| PM Stock | USD 187.51 1.44 0.76% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.131 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8885 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.3975 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1871 | Wall Street Target Price 192.5313 |
Using Philip Morris hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Philip Morris International from the perspective of Philip Morris response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Philip Morris using Philip Morris' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Philip using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Philip Morris' stock price.
Philip Morris Short Interest
An investor who is long Philip Morris may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Philip Morris and may potentially protect profits, hedge Philip Morris with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 166.6484 | Short Percent 0.0128 | Short Ratio 3.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.1 M | 50 Day MA 166.3832 |
Philip Morris Intern Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Philip Morris' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Philip. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Philip can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Philip Morris International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Philip Morris' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Philip Morris.
Philip Morris Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Philip Morris to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Philip because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Philip Morris after-hype prediction price | USD 187.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Philip contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Philip Morris International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Philip Morris trading at USD 187.51, that is roughly USD 0.0363 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Philip Morris' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Philip Morris International options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Philip Morris Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Philip Morris After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Philip Morris at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Philip Morris or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Philip Morris, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Philip Morris Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Philip Morris' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Philip Morris' historical news coverage. Philip Morris' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 185.93 and 188.85, respectively. We have considered Philip Morris' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Philip Morris is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Philip Morris Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.
Philip Morris Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Philip Morris is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Philip Morris backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Philip Morris, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.46 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
187.51 | 187.39 | 0.06 |
|
Philip Morris Hype Timeline
As of February 17, 2026 Philip Morris Intern is listed for 187.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Philip is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 187.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Philip Morris is about 591.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 187.59. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. Philip Morris Intern recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Philip Morris Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Philip Morris Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Philip Morris' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Philip Morris' future price movements. Getting to know how Philip Morris' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Philip Morris may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEP | PepsiCo | 1.50 | 5 per month | 0.75 | 0.14 | 2.04 | (1.59) | 7.29 | |
| BTI | British American Tobacco | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.47 | (2.41) | 6.70 | |
| MO | Altria Group | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 2.75 | (1.53) | 8.25 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | (0.70) | 8 per month | 0.64 | 0.11 | 2.07 | (1.49) | 4.23 | |
| UL | Unilever PLC ADR | (0.21) | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.05 | 1.93 | (1.81) | 8.92 | |
| BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | (0.65) | 11 per month | 0.53 | 0.25 | 2.41 | (1.16) | 4.71 | |
| PG | Procter Gamble | 1.36 | 5 per month | 1.01 | 0.08 | 1.84 | (1.33) | 5.66 | |
| UVV | Universal | (0.14) | 8 per month | 2.05 | (0.01) | 2.06 | (1.45) | 12.90 | |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands | 0.84 | 10 per month | 1.46 | 0.18 | 3.77 | (2.59) | 9.49 | |
| RLX | RLX Technology | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.02 | 3.15 | (3.17) | 14.00 |
Philip Morris Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Philip price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Philip using various technical indicators. When you analyze Philip charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Philip Morris Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Philip Morris stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Philip Morris International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Philip Morris based on analysis of Philip Morris hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Philip Morris's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Philip Morris's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0545 | 0.0357 | 0.053 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.15 | 5.94 | 5.27 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Philip Morris Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Tobacco sector continue expanding? Could Philip diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. Anticipated expansion of Philip directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Philip Morris data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.131 | Dividend Share 5.64 | Earnings Share 7.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
Philip Morris Intern's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Philip's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Philip Morris' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Philip Morris' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Philip Morris' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Philip Morris should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.