Recon Technology Stock Price Prediction
| RCON Stock | USD 1.44 0.04 2.86% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.00) | Wall Street Target Price 2.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Using Recon Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Recon Technology from the perspective of Recon Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Recon Technology using Recon Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Recon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Recon Technology's stock price.
Recon Technology Implied Volatility | 2.83 |
Recon Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Recon Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Recon Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Recon Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Recon Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Recon Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Recon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Recon Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 1.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Recon Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Recon Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Recon Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Recon Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Recon Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Recon Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Recon Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Recon Technology's historical news coverage. Recon Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.69, respectively. We have considered Recon Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Recon Technology is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Recon Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Recon Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Recon Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Recon Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Recon Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 4.28 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.44 | 1.44 | 0.00 |
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Recon Technology Hype Timeline
Recon Technology is at this time traded for 1.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Recon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Recon Technology is about 12228.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.43. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Recon Technology recorded a loss per share of 0.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. The firm had 1:18 split on the 1st of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Recon Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Recon Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Recon Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Recon Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Recon Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Recon Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DWSN | Dawson Geophysical | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.31 | 0.02 | 7.46 | (5.56) | 16.23 | |
| SPRU | Spruce Power Holding | (0.13) | 3 per month | 5.21 | 0.18 | 13.68 | (5.98) | 81.84 | |
| PED | PEDEVCO Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 3.72 | 0.04 | 6.78 | (7.27) | 18.58 | |
| SMXT | Solarmax Technology Common | 0.01 | 3 per month | 5.28 | 0.01 | 10.23 | (8.97) | 29.70 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | (0.20) | 7 per month | 3.93 | 0.16 | 10.85 | (7.06) | 27.68 | |
| USEG | US Energy Corp | (0.13) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.07 | (5.05) | 13.11 | |
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | (0.13) | 15 per month | 3.62 | 0.15 | 10.28 | (5.06) | 29.54 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | 0.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.76 | (6.48) | 19.03 | |
| NINE | Nine Energy Service | (0.03) | 9 per month | 7.44 | (0.01) | 17.02 | (11.11) | 40.03 | |
| BEEM | Beam Global | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.88 | (7.61) | 19.76 |
Recon Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Recon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Recon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Recon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Recon Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Recon Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Recon Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Recon Technology based on analysis of Recon Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Recon Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Recon Technology's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 3.2E-5 | 2.8E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.85 | 2.71 |
Pair Trading with Recon Technology
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Recon Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Recon Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Recon Stock
Moving against Recon Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Recon Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Recon Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Recon Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Recon Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Recon Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Recon Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Recon Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Recon Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Recon Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Recon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Recon Technology guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Recon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Recon Technology. Anticipated expansion of Recon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Recon Technology data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Recon Technology using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Recon Technology's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Recon Technology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Recon Technology's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Recon Technology should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Recon Technology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.