Rithm Capital Corp Stock Price Prediction
| RITM Stock | USD 10.98 0.19 1.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8863 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8963 | Wall Street Target Price 13.0455 |
Using Rithm Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rithm Capital Corp from the perspective of Rithm Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rithm Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rithm because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rithm Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 10.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rithm |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rithm Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rithm Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rithm Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rithm Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rithm Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rithm Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rithm Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rithm Capital's historical news coverage. Rithm Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.87 and 12.11, respectively. We have considered Rithm Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rithm Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rithm Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rithm Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rithm Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rithm Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rithm Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.12 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.98 | 10.99 | 0.09 |
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Rithm Capital Hype Timeline
Rithm Capital Corp is at this time traded for 10.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Rithm is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Rithm Capital is about 5793.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.29 B. Net Income was 630.67 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Rithm Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rithm Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rithm Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rithm Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Rithm Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rithm Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Rithm Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rithm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rithm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rithm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rithm Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rithm Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rithm Capital Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rithm Capital based on analysis of Rithm Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rithm Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rithm Capital's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.55 | Dividend Yield | 0.0929 | 0.0907 | 0.15 |
Story Coverage note for Rithm Capital
The number of cover stories for Rithm Capital depends on current market conditions and Rithm Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rithm Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rithm Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rithm Capital Short Properties
Rithm Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rithm Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rithm Capital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rithm Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rithm Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 483.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267.5 K |
Check out Rithm Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rithm Capital. If investors know Rithm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rithm Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.98 | Revenue Per Share 6.184 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Rithm Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rithm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rithm Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rithm Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rithm Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rithm Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rithm Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rithm Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rithm Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.