Saratoga Investment Corp Stock Price Prediction
| SAR Stock | USD 23.57 0.15 0.64% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.163 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4013 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3613 | Wall Street Target Price 23.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.5913 |
Using Saratoga Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Saratoga Investment Corp from the perspective of Saratoga Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Saratoga Investment using Saratoga Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Saratoga using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Saratoga Investment's stock price.
Saratoga Investment Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Saratoga Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Saratoga Investment Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Saratoga Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Saratoga Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Saratoga Investment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Saratoga Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Saratoga because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Saratoga Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 23.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Saratoga contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Saratoga Investment Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Saratoga Investment trading at USD 23.57, that is roughly USD 0.0113 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Saratoga Investment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Saratoga Investment Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Saratoga Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Saratoga Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Saratoga Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Saratoga Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Saratoga Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Saratoga Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Saratoga Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Saratoga Investment's historical news coverage. Saratoga Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.42 and 24.36, respectively. We have considered Saratoga Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Saratoga Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Saratoga Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Saratoga Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Saratoga Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Saratoga Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Saratoga Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.57 | 23.39 | 0.13 |
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Saratoga Investment Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Saratoga Investment Corp is traded for 23.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Saratoga is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Saratoga Investment is about 545.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.60. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Saratoga Investment Corp last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2026. The entity had 1:10 split on the 13th of August 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Saratoga Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Saratoga Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Saratoga Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Saratoga Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Saratoga Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Saratoga Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Saratoga Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Saratoga price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Saratoga using various technical indicators. When you analyze Saratoga charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Saratoga Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Saratoga Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Saratoga Investment Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Saratoga Investment based on analysis of Saratoga Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Saratoga Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Saratoga Investment's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Current Ratio | 3.93 | 27.93 | 25.14 | 26.39 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 67.95 | 19.82 | 17.84 | 18.73 |
Pair Trading with Saratoga Investment
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Saratoga Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Saratoga Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Saratoga Stock
| 0.64 | JLEN | JLEN Environmental Assets | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | LBS | Life Banc Split | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | DFN | Dividend 15 Split | PairCorr |
Moving against Saratoga Stock
| 0.86 | TAM | Tatton Asset Management | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | IPX | Impax Asset Management | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | LIO | Liontrust Asset Mana | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | ZNB | Zeta Network Group Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | ISRL | Israel Acquisitions Corp Upward Rally | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Saratoga Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Saratoga Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Saratoga Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Saratoga Investment Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Saratoga Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Saratoga Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Saratoga Investment Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Saratoga Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Saratoga Stock Analysis
When running Saratoga Investment's price analysis, check to measure Saratoga Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saratoga Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Saratoga Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saratoga Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saratoga Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saratoga Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.