Sbc Communications Stock Price Prediction

SBC Stock   4.33  0.02  0.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of SBC Communications' stock price is about 66. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SBC, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SBC Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SBC Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SBC Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.194
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.4525
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.48
Wall Street Target Price
8.1667
Using SBC Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBC Communications from the perspective of SBC Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

SBC Communications Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SBC Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SBC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SBC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SBC Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SBC Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SBC Communications.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SBC Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SBC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SBC Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out SBC Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SBC Stock refer to our How to Trade SBC Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.595.068.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.814.287.75
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.438.179.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.100.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SBC Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SBC Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SBC Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SBC Communications.

SBC Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SBC Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBC Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBC Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SBC Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SBC Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBC Communications' historical news coverage. SBC Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.85 and 7.79, respectively. We have considered SBC Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.33
4.32
After-hype Price
7.79
Upside
SBC Communications is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBC Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

SBC Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SBC Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBC Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBC Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.47
  0.01 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.33
4.32
0.23 
3,470  
Notes

SBC Communications Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of January SBC Communications is traded for 4.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. SBC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on SBC Communications is about 405.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.29. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SBC Communications had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out SBC Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SBC Stock refer to our How to Trade SBC Stock guide.

SBC Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SBC Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBC Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how SBC Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBC Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACCOAcco Brands(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.12 (3.93) 9.71 
KNOPKNOT Offshore Partners(0.11)8 per month 1.24  0.09  3.99 (2.12) 12.60 
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC(0.09)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.90 (3.16) 10.48 
SPIRSpire Global 0.23 11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.61 (12.50) 40.39 
MTWManitowoc 0.15 8 per month 2.46  0.09  4.45 (5.02) 14.96 
WNCWabash National(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.38 (3.27) 13.07 
FLYXflyExclusive 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.00 (11.40) 25.73 
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.51 (4.01) 9.67 
ANPARich Sparkle Holdings(8.85)5 per month 0.00 (0.01) 8.97 (11.21) 57.13 
PANLPangaea Logistic 0.14 10 per month 1.65  0.13  4.65 (2.91) 22.74 

SBC Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SBC Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SBC Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SBC Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SBC Communications based on analysis of SBC Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SBC Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SBC Communications's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding100.285.6398.48101.68
PTB Ratio7.652.753.163.01

Story Coverage note for SBC Communications

The number of cover stories for SBC Communications depends on current market conditions and SBC Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBC Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBC Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SBC Communications Short Properties

SBC Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when SBC Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBC Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBC Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBC Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments125 M

Complementary Tools for SBC Stock analysis

When running SBC Communications' price analysis, check to measure SBC Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SBC Communications is operating at the current time. Most of SBC Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SBC Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SBC Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SBC Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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