Sirius Xm Holding Stock Price Patterns
| SIRI Stock | USD 21.29 0.41 1.89% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.73 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.112 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2458 | Wall Street Target Price 24.2308 |
Using Sirius XM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sirius XM Holding from the perspective of Sirius XM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sirius XM using Sirius XM's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sirius using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sirius XM's stock price.
Sirius XM Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sirius XM's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sirius. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sirius XM stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.0161 | Short Percent 0.1596 | Short Ratio 7.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 34.2 M | 50 Day MA 21.0302 |
Sirius XM Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sirius XM's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sirius. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sirius can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sirius XM Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sirius XM's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sirius XM.
Sirius XM Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Sirius XM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sirius XM Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sirius XM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sirius XM stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sirius XM's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sirius XM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sirius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sirius XM after-hype prediction price | USD 21.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sirius contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sirius XM Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sirius XM trading at USD 21.29, that is roughly USD 0.004923 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sirius XM's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sirius XM Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sirius XM After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sirius XM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sirius XM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sirius XM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sirius XM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sirius XM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sirius XM's historical news coverage. Sirius XM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.11 and 23.47, respectively. We have considered Sirius XM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sirius XM is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sirius XM Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sirius XM Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sirius XM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sirius XM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sirius XM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 23 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.29 | 21.29 | 0.00 |
|
Sirius XM Hype Timeline
Sirius XM Holding is at this time traded for 21.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Sirius is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sirius XM is about 2235.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.28. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sirius XM Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of February 2026. The firm had 1:10 split on the 10th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sirius XM Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sirius XM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sirius XM's future price movements. Getting to know how Sirius XM's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sirius XM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (3.74) | 8 per month | 1.48 | 0.03 | 3.53 | (2.88) | 8.17 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | (0.62) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.65 | (7.57) | 32.97 | |
| NXST | Nexstar Broadcasting Group | 5.00 | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.13 | 3.23 | (2.36) | 10.63 | |
| TIGO | Millicom International Cellular | 0.94 | 9 per month | 2.15 | 0.17 | 4.78 | (3.25) | 15.97 | |
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden | (1.01) | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.23 | 3.41 | (1.41) | 9.71 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.69 | 0.29 | 3.99 | (1.34) | 16.18 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | (1.71) | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.07 | 4.56 | (3.87) | 10.40 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.21 | 3.45 | (3.12) | 10.82 |
Sirius XM Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sirius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sirius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sirius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sirius XM Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sirius XM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sirius XM Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sirius XM based on analysis of Sirius XM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sirius XM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sirius XM's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00308 | 0.0186 | 0.054 | 0.0567 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.36 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | |
| RKT | Rocket Companies |
Complementary Tools for Sirius Stock analysis
When running Sirius XM's price analysis, check to measure Sirius XM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sirius XM is operating at the current time. Most of Sirius XM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sirius XM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sirius XM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sirius XM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| AI Portfolio Prophet Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |