Solid Power Stock Price Patterns
| SLDP Stock | USD 4.48 0.34 7.05% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.51) | Wall Street Target Price 7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
Using Solid Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solid Power from the perspective of Solid Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Solid Power using Solid Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Solid using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Solid Power's stock price.
Solid Power Short Interest
An investor who is long Solid Power may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Solid Power and may potentially protect profits, hedge Solid Power with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.8456 | Short Percent 0.121 | Short Ratio 3.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 24.5 M | 50 Day MA 5.0841 |
Solid Power Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Solid Power's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Solid. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Solid can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Solid Power. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Solid Power's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Solid Power.
Solid Power Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Solid Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Solid Power stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Solid Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Solid Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Solid Power's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Solid Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Solid because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Solid Power after-hype prediction price | USD 4.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Solid contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Solid Power will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Solid Power trading at USD 4.48, that is roughly USD 0.003024 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Solid Power's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Solid Power options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Solid Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Solid Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Solid Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Solid Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Solid Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Solid Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Solid Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Solid Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Solid Power's historical news coverage. Solid Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 13.05, respectively. We have considered Solid Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Solid Power is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Solid Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Solid Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Solid Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Solid Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Solid Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 8.48 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 22 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.48 | 4.57 | 2.01 |
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Solid Power Hype Timeline
Solid Power is at this time traded for 4.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Solid is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Solid Power is about 3962.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.54. Solid Power currently holds 9.41 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Solid Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Solid Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Solid Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Solid Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Solid Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Solid Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVLV | Evolv Technologies Holdings | (0.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.95 | (6.01) | 15.16 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | (3.72) | 8 per month | 2.94 | 0.04 | 4.06 | (5.33) | 11.80 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | 1.33 | 10 per month | 5.84 | 0.01 | 11.94 | (9.57) | 31.35 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | 0.18 | 11 per month | 2.36 | 0.12 | 5.92 | (4.61) | 31.33 | |
| EVEX | Eve Holding | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.46 | (5.65) | 19.07 | |
| PRG | PROG Holdings | 0.37 | 8 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 3.84 | (2.58) | 8.53 | |
| RDW | Redwire Corp | 0.14 | 10 per month | 5.90 | 0.12 | 13.96 | (8.57) | 35.97 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.41) | 13 per month | 0.98 | 0.21 | 2.89 | (2.24) | 12.98 | |
| BLDP | Ballard Power Systems | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.96 | (5.63) | 15.31 | |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management | 4.66 | 9 per month | 3.80 | 0.16 | 8.69 | (8.62) | 108.61 |
Solid Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Solid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Solid Power Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Solid Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Solid Power, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Solid Power based on analysis of Solid Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Solid Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Solid Power's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 32.56 | 25.25 | 29.03 | 27.58 | PTB Ratio | 0.51 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 0.9 |
Pair Trading with Solid Power
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Solid Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Solid Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Solid Stock
| 0.54 | ZKH | ZKH Group Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | DOV | Dover | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | WWD | Woodward Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | FCTI | Fact Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | MLI | Mueller Industries | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Solid Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Solid Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Solid Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Solid Power to buy it.
The correlation of Solid Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Solid Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Solid Power moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Solid Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Solid Stock Analysis
When running Solid Power's price analysis, check to measure Solid Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solid Power is operating at the current time. Most of Solid Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solid Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solid Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solid Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.