Source Capital Closed Stock Price Prediction
| SOR Stock | USD 46.48 0.72 1.57% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using Source Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Source Capital Closed from the perspective of Source Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Source Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Source because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Source Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 46.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Source Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Source Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Source Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Source Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Source Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Source Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Source Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Source Capital's historical news coverage. Source Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.47 and 47.63, respectively. We have considered Source Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Source Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Source Capital Closed is based on 3 months time horizon.
Source Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Source Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Source Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Source Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.08 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.48 | 46.55 | 0.15 |
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Source Capital Hype Timeline
On the 4th of January Source Capital Closed is traded for 46.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Source is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 46.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 82.44%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Source Capital is about 923.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.47. The company reported the last year's revenue of 40.22 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 39.16 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 19.31 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Source Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Source Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Source Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Source Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Source Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Source Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAR | Saratoga Investment Corp | 0.11 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.54 | (2.09) | 6.31 | |
| DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | (0.96) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.07 | 1.65 | (2.93) | 45.02 | |
| SCM | Stellus Capital Investment | (0.45) | 6 per month | 1.46 | (0.03) | 1.94 | (2.74) | 6.78 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.13 | (2.39) | 8.32 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | 0.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.84 | (2.44) | 8.35 | |
| PSBD | Palmer Square Capital | (0.12) | 9 per month | 1.16 | (0.02) | 2.63 | (2.20) | 8.79 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.03 | (2.00) | 7.56 | |
| LEO | BNY Mellon Strategic | (0.13) | 3 per month | 0.34 | (0.03) | 0.65 | (0.64) | 2.74 | |
| EIC | Eagle Pointome | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.36 | (1.74) | 5.28 | |
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | (0.02) | 5 per month | 1.19 | (0.04) | 1.90 | (1.19) | 12.05 |
Source Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Source price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Source using various technical indicators. When you analyze Source charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Source Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Source Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Source Capital Closed, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Source Capital based on analysis of Source Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Source Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Source Capital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.92 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.72 | Dividend Yield | 0.0721 | 0.0575 | 0.0517 | 0.088 |
Story Coverage note for Source Capital
The number of cover stories for Source Capital depends on current market conditions and Source Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Source Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Source Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Source Capital Short Properties
Source Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Source Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Source Capital Closed often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Source Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Source Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3675.00 |
Additional Tools for Source Stock Analysis
When running Source Capital's price analysis, check to measure Source Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Source Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Source Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Source Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Source Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Source Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.