Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Price Prediction
| SWVLW Stock | USD 0.02 0 6.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.296 |
Using Swvl Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swvl Holdings Corp from the perspective of Swvl Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Swvl Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Swvl because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Swvl Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0209 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Swvl |
Swvl Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Swvl Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swvl Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Swvl Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Swvl Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Swvl Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swvl Holdings' historical news coverage. Swvl Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.78, respectively. We have considered Swvl Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Swvl Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swvl Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Swvl Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swvl Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swvl Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swvl Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 9.34 | 0.26 | 0.50 | 25 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 25 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 24.51 |
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Swvl Holdings Hype Timeline
Swvl Holdings Corp is at this time traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Swvl is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0209 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 24.51%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Swvl Holdings is about 778.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.52. Swvl Holdings Corp has accumulated 1.66 M in total debt. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in about 25 days. Check out Swvl Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Swvl Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Swvl Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swvl Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Swvl Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swvl Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| S | SentinelOne | (0.23) | 8 per month | 2.01 | 0.05 | 5.09 | (3.63) | 12.03 | |
| U | Unity Software | 0.67 | 8 per month | 3.29 | 0.11 | 8.52 | (5.61) | 17.78 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | 3.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.92 | (4.41) | 15.29 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | (0.31) | 6 per month | 2.23 | 0.15 | 6.94 | (5.04) | 26.01 | |
| BB | BlackBerry | (0.04) | 11 per month | 2.43 | (0.05) | 4.42 | (3.83) | 13.53 | |
| BL | Blackline | 2.20 | 10 per month | 1.29 | 0.14 | 3.61 | (2.19) | 7.65 | |
| DM | Desktop Metal | 0.19 | 7 per month | 2.31 | (0.01) | 3.69 | (3.95) | 21.58 | |
| DQ | Daqo New Energy | 3.99 | 10 per month | 6.24 | 0.06 | 9.83 | (7.04) | 38.84 |
Swvl Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Swvl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swvl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swvl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Swvl Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Swvl Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Swvl Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swvl Holdings based on analysis of Swvl Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Swvl Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Swvl Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.45 | 1.67 | 2.61 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 58.3 | 7.0E-6 | 6.0E-6 |
Story Coverage note for Swvl Holdings
The number of cover stories for Swvl Holdings depends on current market conditions and Swvl Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swvl Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swvl Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Swvl Holdings Short Properties
Swvl Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Swvl Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Swvl Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Swvl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swvl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 M |
Additional Tools for Swvl Stock Analysis
When running Swvl Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Swvl Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swvl Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Swvl Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swvl Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swvl Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swvl Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.