Triple Flag Precious Stock Price Patterns
| TFPM Stock | USD 37.40 3.68 10.91% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.038 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2761 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9941 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2741 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
Using Triple Flag hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triple Flag Precious from the perspective of Triple Flag response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Triple Flag using Triple Flag's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Triple using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Triple Flag's stock price.
Triple Flag Short Interest
An investor who is long Triple Flag may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Triple Flag and may potentially protect profits, hedge Triple Flag with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.6743 | Short Ratio 4.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 34.3718 | Shares Short 2.6 M |
Triple Flag Precious Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Triple Flag's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Triple. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Triple can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Triple Flag Precious. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Triple Flag's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Triple Flag.
Triple Flag Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Triple Flag's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Triple Flag Precious stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Triple Flag's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Triple Flag stock will not fluctuate a lot when Triple Flag's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triple Flag to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triple Flag after-hype prediction price | USD 37.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Triple contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Triple Flag Precious will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Triple Flag trading at USD 37.4, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Triple Flag's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Triple Flag Precious options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Triple Flag After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triple Flag at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triple Flag or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triple Flag, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triple Flag Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triple Flag's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triple Flag's historical news coverage. Triple Flag's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.97 and 40.15, respectively. We have considered Triple Flag's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triple Flag is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triple Flag Precious is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triple Flag Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triple Flag is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triple Flag backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triple Flag, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.09 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.40 | 37.06 | 0.91 |
|
Triple Flag Hype Timeline
Triple Flag Precious is at this time traded for 37.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Triple is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Triple Flag is about 880.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.58. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Triple Flag was at this time reported as 9.59. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triple Flag Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triple Flag's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triple Flag's future price movements. Getting to know how Triple Flag's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triple Flag may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BVN | Compania de Minas | 0.01 | 18 per month | 1.65 | 0.32 | 5.50 | (3.76) | 11.22 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 0.60 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.21 | 4.10 | (3.18) | 9.72 | |
| NGD | New Gold | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.35 | 0.25 | 7.41 | (4.09) | 19.38 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | 2.77 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (3.12) | 11.95 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 1.88 | 9 per month | 2.99 | 0.20 | 5.44 | (5.81) | 12.33 | |
| CLF | Cleveland Cliffs | (0.82) | 9 per month | 4.58 | 0.04 | 5.23 | (7.09) | 17.86 | |
| UFPI | Ufp Industries | (1.78) | 6 per month | 1.10 | 0.09 | 3.46 | (2.12) | 7.57 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 3.15 | 0.03 | 5.48 | (5.42) | 14.92 | |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | 1.08 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.69 | (2.53) | 7.97 | |
| BCPC | Balchem | (0.31) | 30 per month | 0.84 | 0.09 | 3.26 | (1.53) | 7.13 |
Triple Flag Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triple Flag Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triple Flag stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triple Flag Precious, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triple Flag based on analysis of Triple Flag hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triple Flag's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triple Flag's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0156 | 0.0143 | 0.0129 | 0.0105 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.0 | 11.26 | 12.94 | 18.68 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Triple diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triple Flag. If investors know Triple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triple Flag data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.038 | Dividend Share 0.223 | Earnings Share 0.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.269 |
The market value of Triple Flag Precious is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triple Flag's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triple Flag's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Triple Flag's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triple Flag's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triple Flag's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triple Flag is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Triple Flag's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.