Tenet Healthcare Stock Price Prediction

THC Stock  USD 143.32  0.31  0.22%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Tenet Healthcare's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tenet Healthcare, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tenet Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tenet Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tenet Healthcare's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.215
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.2029
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.4304
Wall Street Target Price
185.21
Using Tenet Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tenet Healthcare from the perspective of Tenet Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Tenet Healthcare Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tenet Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tenet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tenet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tenet Healthcare. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tenet Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tenet Healthcare.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tenet Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tenet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tenet Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 143.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Tenet Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.2468.45157.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
124.37127.58130.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.0025-0.0025
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tenet Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tenet Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tenet Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tenet Healthcare.

Tenet Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tenet Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tenet Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tenet Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tenet Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tenet Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tenet Healthcare's historical news coverage. Tenet Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 139.79 and 146.21, respectively. We have considered Tenet Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
143.32
139.79
Downside
143.00
After-hype Price
146.21
Upside
Tenet Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tenet Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tenet Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tenet Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tenet Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tenet Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
3.21
  0.32 
  0.19 
11 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.32
143.00
0.22 
150.70  
Notes

Tenet Healthcare Hype Timeline

On the 26th of November Tenet Healthcare is traded for 143.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Tenet is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 143.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 150.7%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Tenet Healthcare is about 247.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 143.13. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Tenet Healthcare was at this time reported as 40.32. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.67. Tenet Healthcare recorded earning per share (EPS) of 31.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2000. The firm had 1:4 split on the 11th of October 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Tenet Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.

Tenet Healthcare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tenet Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tenet Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Tenet Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tenet Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACHCAcadia Healthcare(0.57)8 per month 0.00 (0.29) 3.36 (5.78) 22.87 
HCAHCA Holdings(1.10)9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.06 (2.82) 11.25 
USPHUS Physicalrapy(1.38)9 per month 1.17  0.07  3.36 (2.56) 20.31 
DVADaVita HealthCare Partners(2.39)9 per month 2.24  0.01  3.21 (2.24) 14.55 
UHSUniversal Health Services 5.67 11 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.22 (4.07) 14.88 
AMNAMN Healthcare Services(7.20)8 per month 0.00 (0.20) 4.43 (5.71) 36.93 
BKDBrookdale Senior Living 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.19 (4.56) 21.81 
ENSGThe Ensign Group(13.99)10 per month 1.63 (0.08) 2.32 (2.11) 10.08 
PNTGPennant Group(0.46)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.19 (3.97) 13.06 
SEMSelect Medical Holdings 0.07 10 per month 1.56  0.05  3.02 (2.50) 14.58 
EHCEncompass Health Corp(1.18)11 per month 0.84  0.04  1.76 (1.86) 9.75 
INNVInnovAge Holding Corp(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.28 (4.81) 11.60 
ADUSAddus HomeCare 3.64 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.50 (2.48) 7.74 
SGRYSurgery Partners 0.71 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.73 (4.88) 31.36 

Tenet Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tenet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tenet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tenet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tenet Healthcare Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tenet Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tenet Healthcare, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tenet Healthcare based on analysis of Tenet Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tenet Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tenet Healthcare's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Inventory Turnover8.678.0844.0932.15
ROIC0.130.110.120.1

Story Coverage note for Tenet Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Tenet Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Tenet Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tenet Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tenet Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tenet Healthcare Short Properties

Tenet Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tenet Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tenet Healthcare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tenet Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenet Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Complementary Tools for Tenet Stock analysis

When running Tenet Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Tenet Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tenet Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Tenet Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tenet Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tenet Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tenet Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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