Two Harbors Investments Stock Price Prediction
| TWO Stock | USD 11.56 0.10 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5446 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.732 | Wall Street Target Price 14.125 |
Using Two Harbors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Two Harbors Investments from the perspective of Two Harbors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Two Harbors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Two because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Two Harbors after-hype prediction price | USD 11.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Two |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Two Harbors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Two Harbors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Two Harbors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Two Harbors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Two Harbors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Two Harbors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Two Harbors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Two Harbors' historical news coverage. Two Harbors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.24 and 12.86, respectively. We have considered Two Harbors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Two Harbors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Two Harbors Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Two Harbors Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Two Harbors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Two Harbors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Two Harbors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.31 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.56 | 11.55 | 0.09 |
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Two Harbors Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Two Harbors Investments is traded for 11.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Two is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Two Harbors is about 731.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.52. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Two Harbors Investments recorded a loss per share of 4.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of October 2024. The firm had 1:4 split on the 2nd of November 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Two Harbors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Two Harbors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Two Harbors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Two Harbors' future price movements. Getting to know how Two Harbors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Two Harbors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.48 | (3.32) | 7.18 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.41 | (2.02) | 4.86 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.12 | (0.09) | 1.60 | (1.77) | 4.59 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | 0.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.49 | (2.10) | 5.49 | |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital | (0.13) | 8 per month | 1.35 | (0.08) | 1.66 | (2.11) | 6.35 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.85 | (2.89) | 6.35 | |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | (0.72) | 7 per month | 1.51 | (0.07) | 1.80 | (2.36) | 8.55 | |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.02 | (1.26) | 4.21 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.03 | (0.04) | 1.54 | (1.52) | 4.76 | |
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.92 | (1.85) | 5.24 | |
| MFA | MFA Financial | (0.82) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.66 | (2.53) | 9.82 |
Two Harbors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Two price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Two using various technical indicators. When you analyze Two charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Two Harbors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Two Harbors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Two Harbors Investments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Two Harbors based on analysis of Two Harbors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Two Harbors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Two Harbors's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.6 | 0.78 | Dividend Yield | 0.19 | 0.2 |
Story Coverage note for Two Harbors
The number of cover stories for Two Harbors depends on current market conditions and Two Harbors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Two Harbors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Two Harbors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Two Harbors Short Properties
Two Harbors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Two Harbors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Two Harbors Investments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Two Harbors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Two Harbors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 794.8 M |
Check out Two Harbors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Two Harbors. If investors know Two will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Two Harbors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share (4.73) | Revenue Per Share 1.171 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) |
The market value of Two Harbors Investments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Two that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Two Harbors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Two Harbors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Two Harbors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Two Harbors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Two Harbors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Two Harbors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Two Harbors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.