Umh Properties Stock Price Prediction
| UMH Stock | USD 19.39 0.15 0.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 46.894 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.17 | Wall Street Target Price 21.8125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.02 |
Using UMH Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UMH Properties from the perspective of UMH Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UMH Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UMH because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
UMH Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 19.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UMH |
UMH Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UMH Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UMH Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UMH Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UMH Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UMH Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UMH Properties' historical news coverage. UMH Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.06 and 20.42, respectively. We have considered UMH Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UMH Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UMH Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
UMH Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UMH Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UMH Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UMH Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.19 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.39 | 19.24 | 0.00 |
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UMH Properties Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November UMH Properties is traded for 19.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. UMH is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on UMH Properties is about 1096.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.39. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of UMH Properties was at this time reported as 6.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out UMH Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.UMH Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UMH Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UMH Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how UMH Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UMH Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
UMH Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UMH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UMH using various technical indicators. When you analyze UMH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About UMH Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of UMH Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UMH Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UMH Properties based on analysis of UMH Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UMH Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UMH Properties's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0485 | 0.0745 | 0.0688 | 0.0525 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.8 | 4.47 | 4.33 | 2.83 |
Story Coverage note for UMH Properties
The number of cover stories for UMH Properties depends on current market conditions and UMH Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UMH Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UMH Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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UMH Properties Short Properties
UMH Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when UMH Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UMH Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UMH Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UMH Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.8 M |
Complementary Tools for UMH Stock analysis
When running UMH Properties' price analysis, check to measure UMH Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UMH Properties is operating at the current time. Most of UMH Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UMH Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UMH Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UMH Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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