Velocity Financial Llc Stock Price Prediction
| VEL Stock | USD 20.48 0.11 0.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.265 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9175 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.19 | Wall Street Target Price 21.5 |
Using Velocity Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Velocity Financial Llc from the perspective of Velocity Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Velocity Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Velocity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Velocity Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 20.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Velocity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Velocity Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Velocity Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Velocity Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Velocity Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Velocity Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Velocity Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Velocity Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Velocity Financial's historical news coverage. Velocity Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.62 and 21.32, respectively. We have considered Velocity Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Velocity Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Velocity Financial Llc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Velocity Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Velocity Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Velocity Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Velocity Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 0.85 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.48 | 20.47 | 0.05 |
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Velocity Financial Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Velocity Financial Llc is traded for 20.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Velocity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Velocity Financial is about 42500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.48. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Velocity Financial Llc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Velocity Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Velocity Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Velocity Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Velocity Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Velocity Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Velocity Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings | (0.92) | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 3.29 | (2.64) | 17.64 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.64 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| FISI | Financial Institutions | 0.41 | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.04 | 4.07 | (3.22) | 18.30 | |
| KRNY | Kearny Financial Corp | (0.22) | 7 per month | 1.59 | 0.11 | 4.56 | (3.47) | 22.42 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.08 | 3.50 | (2.26) | 19.67 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | 1.24 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 3.76 | (3.12) | 12.98 | |
| CBFV | CB Financial Services | 0.31 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.11 | 3.23 | (2.61) | 10.09 | |
| CIVB | Civista Bancshares | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.20 | 3.67 | (1.94) | 10.55 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.11) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 |
Velocity Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Velocity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Velocity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Velocity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Velocity Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Velocity Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Velocity Financial Llc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Velocity Financial based on analysis of Velocity Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Velocity Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Velocity Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 429.56 | 374.44 | 99.18 | 94.22 | PTB Ratio | 0.92 | 0.82 | 1.28 | 1.34 |
Story Coverage note for Velocity Financial
The number of cover stories for Velocity Financial depends on current market conditions and Velocity Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Velocity Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Velocity Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Velocity Financial Short Properties
Velocity Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Velocity Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Velocity Financial Llc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Velocity Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Velocity Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Check out Velocity Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velocity Financial. If investors know Velocity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Velocity Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.265 | Earnings Share 1.84 | Revenue Per Share 4.973 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.291 | Return On Assets 0.0139 |
The market value of Velocity Financial Llc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Velocity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Velocity Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Velocity Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Velocity Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Velocity Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velocity Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Velocity Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Velocity Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.