Vf Corporation Stock Price Prediction

VFC Stock  USD 20.02  0.01  0.05%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of VF's stock price is about 62. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling VF, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of VF's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VF Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting VF's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.543
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5511
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6913
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.0107
Wall Street Target Price
16.8611
Using VF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VF Corporation from the perspective of VF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VF using VF's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VF's stock price.

VF Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in VF's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards VF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of VF stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
14.4427
Short Percent
0.0758
Short Ratio
4.02
Shares Short Prior Month
25.3 M
50 Day MA
18.0524

VF Corporation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to VF's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VF Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VF's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VF.

VF Implied Volatility

    
  0.64  
VF's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VF Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VF's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VF stock will not fluctuate a lot when VF's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VF to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

VF after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VF contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VF Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VF trading at USD 20.02, that is roughly USD 0.008008 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VF's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VF Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out VF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9218.9021.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.2220.1923.17
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.3416.8618.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.170.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VF Corporation.

VF After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of VF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

VF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting VF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VF's historical news coverage. VF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.22 and 23.18, respectively. We have considered VF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.02
20.20
After-hype Price
23.18
Upside
VF is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VF Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

VF Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.58 
2.98
  0.02 
  0.86 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.02
20.20
0.95 
7,450  
Notes

VF Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January VF Corporation is traded for 20.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.86. VF is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.95%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on VF is about 199.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.88. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.5 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 69.32 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.15 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out VF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

VF Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to VF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VF's future price movements. Getting to know how VF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
URBNUrban Outfitters 2.48 10 per month 3.08 (0.0006) 5.28 (4.20) 25.85 
BOOTBoot Barn Holdings 10.61 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.65 (3.56) 11.44 
MTNVail Resorts(0.06)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.44 (3.39) 13.29 
THOThor Industries 2.05 10 per month 2.24  0.02  3.76 (3.01) 14.53 
LTHLife Time Group(0.14)9 per month 1.67  0.06  3.90 (3.10) 9.67 
KTBKontoor Brands 0.72 11 per month 0.00 (0.24) 3.87 (4.81) 13.84 
SGHCSGHC Limited(0.28)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.42 (4.15) 26.02 
ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings(0.18)8 per month 2.44 (0.01) 5.36 (3.79) 11.35 
WHWyndham Hotels Resorts(0.20)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.15 (3.12) 8.27 
MMacys Inc(0.09)9 per month 2.02  0.05  5.52 (3.68) 14.51 

VF Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VF using various technical indicators. When you analyze VF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About VF Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of VF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VF Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VF based on analysis of VF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VF's related companies.
 2012 2016 2017 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02270.03040.0230.0436
Price To Sales Ratio2.271.890.640.97

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Complementary Tools for VF Stock analysis

When running VF's price analysis, check to measure VF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VF is operating at the current time. Most of VF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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