Vector Group Price Prediction
VGRDelisted Stock | USD 14.99 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vector hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vector Group from the perspective of Vector response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vector to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vector because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vector after-hype prediction price | USD 14.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vector |
Vector After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vector at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vector or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vector, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Vector Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vector's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vector's historical news coverage. Vector's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.80 and 15.18, respectively. We have considered Vector's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vector is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vector Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vector Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vector is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vector backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vector, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.99 | 14.99 | 0.00 |
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Vector Hype Timeline
On the 29th of November Vector Group is traded for 14.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vector is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vector is about 490.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.99. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.96. Vector Group last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The entity had 1.05:1 split on the 16th of September 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Vector Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vector's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vector's future price movements. Getting to know how Vector's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vector may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
UVV | Universal | (0.27) | 8 per month | 1.07 | (0.02) | 2.49 | (1.91) | 5.89 | |
IMBBY | Imperial Brands PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.10 | 2.47 | (1.43) | 7.84 | |
JAPAY | Japan Tobacco ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.80 | (1.55) | 5.09 | |
PM | Philip Morris International | 2.06 | 8 per month | 1.28 | 0.01 | 1.99 | (1.84) | 15.67 | |
TPB | Turning Point Brands | (1.59) | 9 per month | 0.76 | 0.28 | 4.76 | (2.46) | 10.20 | |
BTI | British American Tobacco | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.04 | (0.06) | 1.28 | (1.32) | 4.59 | |
IMBBF | Imperial Brands PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 5.01 | (4.66) | 11.56 | |
MO | Altria Group | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.70 | 0.03 | 1.48 | (1.21) | 9.22 |
Vector Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vector price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vector using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vector charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Vector Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vector stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vector Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vector based on analysis of Vector hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vector's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vector's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vector
The number of cover stories for Vector depends on current market conditions and Vector's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vector is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vector's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vector Short Properties
Vector's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vector's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vector Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vector's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vector's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 379.5 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Other Consideration for investing in Vector Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vector Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vector's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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