Valens Stock Price Prediction
| VLN Stock | USD 1.77 0.07 3.80% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.15) | Wall Street Target Price 3.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using Valens hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valens from the perspective of Valens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Valens using Valens' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Valens using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Valens' stock price.
Valens Short Interest
An investor who is long Valens may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Valens and may potentially protect profits, hedge Valens with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.0618 | Short Percent 0.0075 | Short Ratio 0.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 553.2 K | 50 Day MA 1.6734 |
Valens Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Valens' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Valens. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Valens can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Valens. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Valens' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Valens.
Valens Implied Volatility | 2.44 |
Valens' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Valens stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Valens' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Valens stock will not fluctuate a lot when Valens' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Valens to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Valens because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Valens after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Valens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Valens After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valens at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valens or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Valens, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valens' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valens' historical news coverage. Valens' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.79, respectively. We have considered Valens' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valens is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valens is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valens Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Valens is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valens backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valens, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 8.81 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Valens Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Valens is traded for 1.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Valens is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Valens is about 3203.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.84. About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Valens recorded a loss per share of 0.29. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Valens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Valens Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valens' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valens' future price movements. Getting to know how Valens' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valens may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXTI | AXT Inc | (0.03) | 15 per month | 5.52 | 0.27 | 16.99 | (9.58) | 35.11 | |
| SQNS | Sequans Communications SA | 0.35 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.80 | (7.10) | 22.42 | |
| ATOM | Atomera | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.98 | (8.51) | 17.24 | |
| DMRC | Digimarc | 1.40 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.01 | (7.96) | 25.20 | |
| TCX | Tucows Inc | (0.14) | 17 per month | 2.68 | 0.07 | 5.31 | (4.36) | 13.11 | |
| GSIT | GSI Technology | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.15 | (11.06) | 48.36 | |
| SVCO | Silvaco Group Common | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.80 | (9.11) | 16.69 | |
| LTRX | Lantronix | (0.23) | 10 per month | 3.09 | 0.16 | 6.50 | (5.59) | 21.11 | |
| AISP | Airship AI Holdings | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.08 | (8.70) | 29.30 | |
| DUOT | Duos Technologies Group | 0.04 | 4 per month | 3.96 | 0.07 | 7.81 | (6.94) | 23.66 |
Valens Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Valens Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Valens stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Valens, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valens based on analysis of Valens hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Valens's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Valens's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.38 | 3.93 | 4.52 | 5.27 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 159.97 | 157.18 | 141.46 | 129.19 |
Pair Trading with Valens
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Valens position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valens will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Valens Stock
| 0.75 | INTC | Intel Upward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | KLAC | KLA Tencor | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | LRCX | Lam Research Corp Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
Moving against Valens Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Valens could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Valens when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Valens - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Valens to buy it.
The correlation of Valens is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Valens moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Valens moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Valens can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Valens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Valens Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valens guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Valens diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valens. If investors know Valens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valens data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.29) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Valens is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valens' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valens' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valens' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valens' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valens is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valens' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.