Xp Inc Stock Price Patterns
| XP Stock | USD 19.51 0.58 2.89% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.133 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.4722 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.6994 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.5825 | Wall Street Target Price 23.9035 |
Using Xp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xp Inc from the perspective of Xp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xp using Xp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xp's stock price.
Xp Short Interest
An investor who is long Xp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Xp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Xp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.8545 | Short Percent 0.0381 | Short Ratio 3.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.8467 |
Xp Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Xp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xp Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xp.
Xp Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Xp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xp Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xp after-hype prediction price | USD 19.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xp contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xp Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Xp trading at USD 19.51, that is roughly USD 0.007804 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xp Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Xp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Xp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xp's historical news coverage. Xp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.73 and 22.21, respectively. We have considered Xp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xp Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.74 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.51 | 19.47 | 0.21 |
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Xp Hype Timeline
As of February 1, 2026 Xp Inc is listed for 19.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Xp is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Xp is about 2686.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.53. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Xp was at this time reported as 8.66. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Xp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xp's future price movements. Getting to know how Xp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JEF | Jefferies Financial Group | (0.77) | 7 per month | 2.23 | 0.05 | 2.85 | (4.66) | 11.46 | |
| FRHC | Freedom Holding Corp | (0.30) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.26 | (4.04) | 8.46 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | 0.15 | 5 per month | 1.08 | 0.15 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 7.21 | |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | 0.54 | 7 per month | 2.18 | 0.06 | 6.64 | (3.58) | 14.75 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | (1.08) | 5 per month | 2.14 | 0.01 | 2.11 | (2.87) | 12.07 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | (0.55) | 7 per month | 1.04 | 0.15 | 2.71 | (1.77) | 7.47 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | (2.88) | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.04 | 2.22 | (2.17) | 5.81 | |
| CMA | Comerica Incorporated | 4.92 | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.11 | 2.60 | (2.15) | 9.13 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.44) | 11 per month | 1.07 | 0.04 | 2.10 | (1.49) | 7.41 | |
| CIFR | Cipher Mining | 1.43 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.10 | (10.41) | 36.13 |
Xp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xp Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xp based on analysis of Xp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xp's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0506 | 0.0455 | 0.0478 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.03 | 2.33 | 2.21 |
Pair Trading with Xp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Xp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Xp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Xp Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Xp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Xp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Xp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Xp Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Xp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Xp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Xp Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Xp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Xp Stock Analysis
When running Xp's price analysis, check to measure Xp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xp is operating at the current time. Most of Xp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.