Aflac Incorporated Stock Beneish M Score

AFL Stock  USD 111.73  1.49  1.35%   
This module uses fundamental data of Aflac Incorporated to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Aflac Incorporated M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Aflac Incorporated Piotroski F Score and Aflac Incorporated Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.
  
At this time, Aflac Incorporated's Debt Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. At this time, Aflac Incorporated's PB Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. EV To Sales is expected to rise to 2.93 this year, although Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 20.23.
At this time, it appears that Aflac Incorporated is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Aflac Incorporated's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Aflac Incorporated executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Aflac Incorporated's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.54
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.93

Focus
Asset Quality

0.62

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.37

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.96

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.37

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.97

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.76

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.75

Focus

Aflac Incorporated Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Aflac Incorporated's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables603.9 M848 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue14.3 B18.7 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Assets75.2 B130.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets37.1 B28.2 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total129.7 B123.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment561.5 M609.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization37 M39 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.1 B2.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities2.1 B2.2 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total110 B104.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt3.2 B3.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt49.4 M52 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt4.2 B7.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income16.3 B15.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.1 B3.2 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.4 B1.4 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments53.5 B92.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin1.091.13
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile

Aflac Incorporated Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Aflac Incorporated's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Aflac Incorporated in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Aflac Incorporated's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Aflac Incorporated Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.01 Billion

At this time, Aflac Incorporated's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

Aflac Incorporated Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Aflac Incorporated. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables828M796M693M647M848M603.9M
Total Revenue22.3B22.1B22.1B19.1B18.7B14.3B
Total Assets152.8B165.1B157.5B131.7B130.9B75.2B
Total Current Assets97.0B111.8B143.7B80.3B28.2B37.1B
Net Debt1.7B2.8B2.9B3.5B3.1B3.2B
Short Term Debt53M56M8.0B55M52M49.4M
Long Term Debt6.4B7.9B7.8B7.4B7.2B4.2B
Operating Income4.4B4.2B5.3B5.1B15.5B16.3B
Investments(2.7B)(3.2B)(1.1B)(1.5B)1.5B1.6B

Aflac Incorporated ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Aflac Incorporated's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Aflac Incorporated's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Aflac Incorporated Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aflac Incorporated's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aflac Incorporated using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aflac Incorporated based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Aflac Incorporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aflac Incorporated's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aflac Incorporated's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aflac Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aflac Incorporated Piotroski F Score and Aflac Incorporated Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aflac Incorporated. If investors know Aflac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aflac Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.144
Dividend Share
1.92
Earnings Share
6.73
Revenue Per Share
30.368
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
The market value of Aflac Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aflac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aflac Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aflac Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aflac Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aflac Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aflac Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aflac Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aflac Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.