Aflac Incorporated Stock Performance

AFL Stock  USD 114.90  0.01  0.01%   
Aflac Incorporated has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aflac Incorporated's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aflac Incorporated is expected to be smaller as well. Aflac Incorporated right now shows a risk of 1.08%. Please confirm Aflac Incorporated jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Aflac Incorporated will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aflac Incorporated are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent technical and fundamental indicators, Aflac Incorporated is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.84)
Five Day Return
(1.47)
Year To Date Return
4.24
Ten Year Return
295.29
All Time Return
153.1 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0212
Payout Ratio
0.3154
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.44
Dividend Date
2026-03-02
 
Aflac Incorporated dividend paid on 1st of December 2025
12/01/2025
1
Acquisition by Daniel Amos of tradable shares of Aflac Incorporated subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
2
Aflac Incorporated to Release Fourth Quarter Results and CFO Video Update on February 4, 2026 and Host Webcast on February 5, 2026
01/05/2026
3
Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC Has 35.33 Million Position in Aflac Incorporated AFL
01/21/2026
4
AFLAC Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
02/03/2026
5
Machina Capital S.A.S. Buys New Position in Aflac Incorporated AFL
02/04/2026
6
Aflac Cybersecurity Breach Tests Risk Controls And Valuation Resilience
02/05/2026
7
Aflac Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/06/2026
8
Disposition of 290 shares by Blackmon Robin Littrell of Aflac Incorporated at 113.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
9
Acquisition by Charles Lake of 27865 shares of Aflac Incorporated subject to Rule 16b-3
02/10/2026
10
How Weaker 2025 Results And Solid Japan Demand At Aflac Have Changed Its Investment Story
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow4.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities2.8 B

Aflac Incorporated Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,118  in Aflac Incorporated on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  372.00  from holding Aflac Incorporated or generate 3.35% return on investment over 90 days. Aflac Incorporated is generating 0.0589% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0848% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Aflac, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aflac Incorporated is expected to generate 2.04 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Aflac Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aflac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 114.90 90 days 114.90 
nearly 4.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aflac Incorporated to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.32 (This Aflac Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Aflac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aflac Incorporated has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aflac Incorporated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aflac Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aflac Incorporated has an alpha of 0.0106, implying that it can generate a 0.0106 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aflac Incorporated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aflac Incorporated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aflac Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.57114.66115.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.52112.61126.40
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
101.64111.69123.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.741.821.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aflac Incorporated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aflac Incorporated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aflac Incorporated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aflac Incorporated.

Aflac Incorporated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aflac Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aflac Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aflac Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aflac Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Aflac Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aflac Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aflac Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aflac Incorporated has 8.41 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. Aflac Incorporated has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Aflac to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Aflac Incorporated has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 59.0% of Aflac Incorporated shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Weaker 2025 Results And Solid Japan Demand At Aflac Have Changed Its Investment Story

Aflac Incorporated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aflac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aflac Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aflac Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding532 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.2 B

Aflac Incorporated Fundamentals Growth

Aflac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aflac Incorporated, and Aflac Incorporated fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aflac Stock performance.

About Aflac Incorporated Performance

By examining Aflac Incorporated's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Aflac Incorporated's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Aflac Incorporated is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.13 

Things to note about Aflac Incorporated performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aflac Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aflac Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aflac Incorporated has 8.41 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. Aflac Incorporated has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Aflac to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Aflac Incorporated has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 59.0% of Aflac Incorporated shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Weaker 2025 Results And Solid Japan Demand At Aflac Have Changed Its Investment Story
Evaluating Aflac Incorporated's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aflac Incorporated's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aflac Incorporated's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aflac Incorporated's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aflac Incorporated's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aflac Incorporated's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aflac Incorporated's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aflac Incorporated's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aflac Incorporated's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aflac Incorporated's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aflac Incorporated's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Aflac Incorporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aflac Incorporated's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aflac Incorporated's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aflac Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aflac Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aflac Incorporated. If investors know Aflac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Aflac Incorporated assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
2.32
Earnings Share
6.83
Revenue Per Share
32.21
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Investors evaluate Aflac Incorporated using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aflac Incorporated's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aflac Incorporated's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aflac Incorporated's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aflac Incorporated represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aflac Incorporated's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.