American Woodmark Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AMWD Stock | USD 97.24 2.50 2.64% |
American | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
American Woodmark Company probability of distress Analysis
American Woodmark's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current American Woodmark Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 8% |
Most of American Woodmark's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Woodmark is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of American Woodmark probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Woodmark odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Woodmark financial health.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Woodmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share 113.705 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.0609 |
The market value of American Woodmark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Woodmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Woodmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Woodmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Woodmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Woodmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Woodmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Woodmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
American Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for American Woodmark is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of American Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since American Woodmark's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of American Woodmark's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of American Woodmark's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, American Woodmark has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 80.67% lower than that of the Building Products sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.
American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Woodmark's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Woodmark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Woodmark by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.American Woodmark is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
American Woodmark Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0454 | 0.0374 | (0.0182) | 0.0617 | 0.0729 | 0.0602 | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.02 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 1.36 | 1.16 | 2.02 | |
| Net Debt | 631.4M | 560.3M | 603.7M | 436.1M | 421.1M | 442.1M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 155.6M | 220.4M | 216.2M | 178.1M | 195.7M | 205.5M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 766.7M | 673.2M | 643.4M | 466.9M | 487.8M | 512.2M | |
| Total Assets | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| Total Current Assets | 325.2M | 392.1M | 428.7M | 368.3M | 402.7M | 422.8M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 177.5M | 151.8M | 24.4M | 196.7M | 230.8M | 242.3M |
American Woodmark ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Woodmark's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Woodmark's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
American Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0609 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.94 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 15.5 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.21 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.10 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 383.15 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.51 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.65 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.83 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.85 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 226.44 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 238.96 M | ||||
| Net Income | 116.22 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 44.83 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 508.46 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.72 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 59.23 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 230.75 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.74 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 6.76 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.46 X | ||||
| Target Price | 110.5 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 8.6 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.61 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.51 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.59 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 543.27 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 206.98 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 302.21 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 92.31 M | ||||
| Five Year Return | 0.60 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 1.59 B |
About American Woodmark Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Woodmark's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Woodmark using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Woodmark based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether American Woodmark is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Woodmark's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Woodmark's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out American Woodmark Piotroski F Score and American Woodmark Altman Z Score analysis. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Woodmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share 113.705 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.0609 |
The market value of American Woodmark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Woodmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Woodmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Woodmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Woodmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Woodmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Woodmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Woodmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.