American Woodmark Stock Technical Analysis

AMWD Stock  USD 57.97  0.65  1.11%   
As of the 30th of January, American Woodmark shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 2.01. American Woodmark technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Woodmark market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if American Woodmark is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 57.97 per share. Given that American Woodmark has information ratio of (0.06), we suggest you to validate American Woodmark's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Woodmark Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as American, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmericanAmerican Woodmark's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Woodmark data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate American Woodmark using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Woodmark's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Woodmark's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Woodmark's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Woodmark represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Woodmark's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

American Woodmark 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Woodmark's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Woodmark.
0.00
11/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/30/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Woodmark on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Woodmark or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Woodmark over 90 days. American Woodmark is related to or competes with LGI Homes, Ethan Allen, MillerKnoll, Standard, Xpel, Fox Factory, and Leggett Platt. American Woodmark Corporation manufactures and distributes kitchen, bath, office, home organization, and hardware produc... More

American Woodmark Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Woodmark's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Woodmark upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Woodmark Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Woodmark's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Woodmark's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Woodmark historical prices to predict the future American Woodmark's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Woodmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.9657.9760.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.9056.9159.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.3854.3957.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.7258.4165.11
Details

American Woodmark January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators

American Woodmark Backtested Returns

American Woodmark secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0284, which signifies that the company had a -0.0284 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Woodmark exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Woodmark's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 2.01 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.63, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Woodmark will likely underperform. At this point, American Woodmark has a negative expected return of -0.086%. Please make sure to confirm American Woodmark's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if American Woodmark performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

American Woodmark has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Woodmark time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Woodmark price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current American Woodmark price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.43
American Woodmark technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Woodmark technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Woodmark trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

American Woodmark Technical Analysis

Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of American Woodmark volatility developed by Welles Wilder.

About American Woodmark Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of American Woodmark on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Woodmark based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on American Woodmark price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding American Woodmark. By analyzing American Woodmark's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Woodmark's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to American Woodmark specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

American Woodmark January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of American help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

American Woodmark January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis

When running American Woodmark's price analysis, check to measure American Woodmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Woodmark is operating at the current time. Most of American Woodmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Woodmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Woodmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Woodmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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