American Woodmark Stock Market Outlook
| AMWD Stock | USD 66.84 0.70 1.04% |
About 67% of American Woodmark's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading American Woodmark stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with American Woodmark's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use American Woodmark stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 33
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use American Woodmark's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward American Woodmark.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Woodmark is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Woodmark buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMWD positions.
Execute American Woodmark Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Woodmark. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Woodmark or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Woodmark's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon American Woodmark has a Mean Deviation of 2.1, Semi Deviation of 3.04, Standard Deviation of 3.03, Variance of 9.17, Downside Variance of 10.27 and Semi Variance of 9.27Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on American Woodmark that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on American Woodmark. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Woodmark is not overpriced, please confirm all American Woodmark fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that American Woodmark has a price to earning of 13.51 X, we suggest you to validate American Woodmark market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
American Woodmark Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How The MasterBrand Deal Is Rewriting American Woodmarks Story And Valuation Outlook |
American Woodmark Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Woodmark's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Woodmark's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Woodmark daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Woodmark price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Woodmark returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for American Woodmark.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.82 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 3.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Woodmark historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Wcm Investment Management | 2025-06-30 | 236.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 206.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 199.5 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 166 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 159.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 142.4 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 132.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 113.2 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 110.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 2.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M |
American Woodmark Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (70.4M) | 30.9M | 28.5M | (22.7M) | (20.5M) | (19.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | (68.7M) | 19.4M | 45.7M | (39.2M) | (35.3M) | (33.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (19.7M) | 154.1M | 139.7M | 65.7M | 75.5M | 39.2M | |
| Depreciation | 96.6M | 93.7M | 78.8M | 55.9M | 64.3M | 36.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 101.8M | 103.0M | 41.1M | 51.8M | 59.6M | 62.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 44.1M | 42.6M | 91.0M | 42.8M | 49.2M | 51.6M | |
| Net Income | (29.7M) | 93.7M | 116.2M | 99.5M | 114.4M | 120.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 22.3M | 41.7M | 87.4M | 48.2M | 55.4M | 56.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 21.0M | (42.8M) | (11.4M) | 35.0M | 40.3M | 42.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | (15.5M) | (132.9M) | (2.7M) | (5.3M) | (4.8M) | (5.0M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (4.2M) | 3.9M | 54.2M | (10.3M) | (11.8M) | (11.2M) | |
| Investments | (51.6M) | (43.2M) | (92.2M) | (42.7M) | (38.4M) | (40.3M) |
American Woodmark Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Woodmark or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Woodmark's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
American Woodmark Volatility Alert
American Woodmark shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Woodmark's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Woodmark's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Woodmark Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Woodmark's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Woodmark's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Woodmark and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Woodmark or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Woodmark's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Woodmark by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Woodmark to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Woodmark | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0682 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0387 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.42 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.31 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 768.38 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.05 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.71 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 255.37 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 200.01 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 99.46 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 44.83 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 509.93 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.72 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 63.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 108.45 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.20 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 66.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.26 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 973.8 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 568.99 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 181.51 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3500 shares by Michael Culbreth of American Woodmark at 90.103 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Woodmark Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5467.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.51) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 67.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 67.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.70) |
About American Woodmark Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Woodmark? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Woodmark in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Chemicals Makers Thematic Idea Now
Chemicals Makers
Companies developing chemicals for crops, soil as well as human, and animals. The Chemicals Makers theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Makers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Woodmark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Woodmark data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share 4.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate American Woodmark using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Woodmark's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Woodmark's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Woodmark's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Woodmark represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Woodmark's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.