Cummins Stock Beneish M Score

CMI Stock  USD 368.48  0.38  0.10%   
This module uses fundamental data of Cummins to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Cummins M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Cummins Piotroski F Score and Cummins Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Cummins Stock please use our How to Invest in Cummins guide.
  
As of now, Cummins' Long Term Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The Cummins' current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 5.4 B, while Short and Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 970.5 M. As of now, Cummins' Free Cash Flow Yield is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Cummins' current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 29.39, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.54.
At this time, it appears that Cummins is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Cummins' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Cummins executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Cummins' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.83
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.99

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.07

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Cummins Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Cummins' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables5.9 B5.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue35.8 B34.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets33.6 B32 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets16 B15.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total17.6 B16.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment6.7 B6.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.4 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities13.5 B12.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total9.7 B9.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term DebtB4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.1 B1.8 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments590.1 M562 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.2 B1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.260.2422
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

Cummins Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Cummins' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Cummins in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Cummins' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Cummins Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

32.18 Billion

As of now, Cummins' Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Cummins Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Cummins. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables3.7B3.8B4.0B5.2B5.6B5.9B
Total Revenue23.6B19.8B24.0B28.1B34.1B35.8B
Total Assets19.7B22.6B23.7B30.3B32.0B33.6B
Total Current Assets9.4B11.9B12.3B14.5B15.2B16.0B
Net Debt1.2B763M1.6B5.8B5.0B5.3B
Short Term Debt791M682M708M3.5B2.0B2.1B
Operating Income2.7B1.8B2.7B2.2B1.8B1.1B
Investments(170M)(171M)(181M)(4.2B)(1.5B)(1.5B)

Cummins ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Cummins' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Cummins' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Cummins Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cummins's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cummins using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cummins based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Cummins offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cummins' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cummins Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cummins Stock:
Check out Cummins Piotroski F Score and Cummins Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Cummins Stock please use our How to Invest in Cummins guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cummins. If investors know Cummins will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cummins listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.277
Dividend Share
6.86
Earnings Share
15.27
Revenue Per Share
245.499
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.003
The market value of Cummins is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cummins that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cummins' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cummins' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cummins' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cummins' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cummins' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cummins is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cummins' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.