Cummins Stock Performance

CMI Stock  USD 583.94  6.08  1.05%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Cummins holds a performance score of 22. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Cummins returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cummins is expected to follow. Please check Cummins' total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Cummins' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cummins are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak primary indicators, Cummins demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.05
Five Day Return
(0.02)
Year To Date Return
11.86
Ten Year Return
549.62
All Time Return
13.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0138
Payout Ratio
0.3675
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
8
Dividend Date
2025-12-04
 
Cummins dividend paid on 4th of December 2025
12/04/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.8 B

Cummins Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  43,583  in Cummins on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14,811  from holding Cummins or generate 33.98% return on investment over 90 days. Cummins is generating 0.4955% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7372% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Cummins, and above 91% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cummins is expected to generate 2.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Cummins Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cummins Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 583.94 90 days 583.94 
nearly 4.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cummins to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.76 (This Cummins probability density function shows the probability of Cummins Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 suggesting Cummins market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cummins is expected to follow. Additionally Cummins has an alpha of 0.4519, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cummins Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cummins

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cummins. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
581.19582.93584.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
525.55601.50603.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
570.07571.81573.55
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
510.12560.57622.24
Details

Cummins Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cummins is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cummins' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cummins, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cummins within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
46.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.25

Cummins Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cummins for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cummins can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cummins is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 4th of December 2025 Cummins paid $ 2.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cummins Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings Heres What to Expect

Cummins Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cummins Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cummins' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cummins' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

Cummins Fundamentals Growth

Cummins Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cummins, and Cummins fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cummins Stock performance.

About Cummins Performance

By evaluating Cummins' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cummins' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cummins has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cummins has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 73.50  51.66 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.35  0.36 

Things to note about Cummins performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cummins for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cummins help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cummins is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 4th of December 2025 Cummins paid $ 2.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cummins Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings Heres What to Expect
Evaluating Cummins' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cummins' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cummins' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cummins' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cummins' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cummins' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cummins' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cummins' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cummins' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cummins' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cummins' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Cummins' price analysis, check to measure Cummins' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cummins is operating at the current time. Most of Cummins' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cummins' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cummins' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cummins to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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