Cummins Stock Performance

CMI Stock  USD 660.75  3.82  0.58%   
Cummins's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.27%, with a 1.19% dividend yield adding to total return.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Cummins is weaker than 8% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. In practice, the ranking separates absolute gains from efficient gains. Despite fairly weak primary indicators, Cummins demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakout point. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
0.58
 Five Day Return
7.33
 Year To Date Return
29.44
 Ten Year Return
475.02
 All Time Return
15.3 K
 Forward Dividend Yield
1.2%
 Payout Ratio
38.1%
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
7.82
 Dividend Date
2026-03-05

Performance Related Modules

Earnings links to analyst estimate history and revisions, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 56,805 in Cummins on January 25, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 9,270 from holding Cummins or generated 16.32% return on investment over 90 days. Cummins is generating a 0.2741% daily return assuming volatility of 2.6102% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Cummins exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 77% of comparable stocks, and the company delivers lower expected returns than 95% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Over a 90-day investment horizon, Cummins generates 2.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.11% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Investors have long observed that Cummins Stock price tends to fluctuate around a central value over time. Many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before supply and demand correct the spread.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
660.75 90 days 660.75
near 1
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of Cummins moving above the current price in 90 days from now are near 1 . Recent return data has shown a distribution that skews above the current level over this window. (The chart shows where the base-case price path for Cummins Stock has been concentrating over 90 days). Wider tails indicate a broader spread of plausible outcomes for Cummins Stock.
Over a 90-day investment horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 suggesting when the benchmark rises, the company tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Cummins tends to underperform. Additionally, Cummins has an alpha of 0.222, implying that it can generate a 0.222 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Cummins Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cummins

The stock market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques applicable to instruments like Cummins. While no single technique guarantees accuracy, combining multiple methods often improves prediction reliability.
Mean reversion in Cummins' price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Cummins' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
658.60661.21663.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
440.13442.74726.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
648.63651.24653.85
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
585.46643.36714.13
Details
Peer benchmarking frames Cummins's operating metrics and market pricing against comparable companies. Placing Cummins' results in peer context distinguishes company-specific performance from industry-wide trends.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market has gone through extended turbulence over the past two decades, and Cummins has not been immune. Sharp price drops and substantial rallies have shaped Cummins' value during this period.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
32.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on Cummins ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. Notifications for Cummins surface changes in technical patterns and fundamental metrics that could influence decisions.
Cummins is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of March 2026 Cummins paid $ 2.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Ingersoll Rand Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday

Price Density Drivers

The price behavior of Cummins is influenced by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. The future price of Cummins Stock depends on both market expectations and ongoing dynamics among participants.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 B

Cummins Fundamentals Growth

Cummins' fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate Cummins Stock. Key drivers such as revenue growth, earnings trends, and margin expansion directly influence Cummins Stock valuation.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for Cummins evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Some cyclical sensitivity may emerge during periods of macroeconomic volatility. Cummins shows ROE of 23.93%, ROA of 7.82%.

Cummins analytics rely on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board