Cummins Stock Technical Analysis
| CMI Stock | USD 595.13 16.31 2.82% |
As of the 3rd of February, Cummins shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2317, mean deviation of 1.44, and Downside Deviation of 1.47. Cummins technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Cummins Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cummins, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CumminsCummins' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Cummins Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 560.57 | Buy | 24 | Odds |
Most Cummins analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cummins stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Cummins, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cummins conference calls.
Is there potential for Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment market expansion? Will Cummins introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cummins. Projected growth potential of Cummins fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Cummins listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 7.46 | Earnings Share 19.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Cummins's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Cummins's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Cummins' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Cummins' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cummins' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cummins should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Cummins' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Cummins 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cummins' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cummins.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cummins on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cummins or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cummins over 90 days. Cummins is related to or competes with Illinois Tool, Canadian National, Roper Technologies, FedEx, Norfolk Southern, Ametek, and United Rentals. Cummins Inc. designs, manufactures, distributes, and services diesel and natural gas engines, electric and hybrid powert... More
Cummins Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cummins' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cummins upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2779 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 |
Cummins Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cummins' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cummins' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cummins historical prices to predict the future Cummins' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2317 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.509 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4474 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3531 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4714 |
Cummins February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2317 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4814 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 324.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2779 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.509 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4474 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3531 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4714 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.73) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5981 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.03 |
Cummins Backtested Returns
Cummins appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Cummins secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.31, which signifies that the company had a 0.31 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Cummins' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Cummins' Downside Deviation of 1.47, risk adjusted performance of 0.2317, and Mean Deviation of 1.44 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cummins holds a performance score of 24. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cummins will likely underperform. Please check Cummins' total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Cummins' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.85 |
Very good predictability
Cummins has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cummins time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cummins price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Cummins price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.85 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.85 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 717.15 |
Cummins technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Cummins Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Cummins across different markets.
About Cummins Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cummins on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cummins based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cummins price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cummins. By analyzing Cummins's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cummins's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cummins specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0271 | 0.0201 | 0.0231 | 0.0292 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.0 | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.34 |
Cummins February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Cummins help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cummins from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cummins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2317 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4814 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 324.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2779 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.509 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4474 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3531 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4714 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.73) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5981 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.03 |
Cummins February 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cummins stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31,045 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.85 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 585.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 588.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 17.66 |
Complementary Tools for Cummins Stock analysis
When running Cummins' price analysis, check to measure Cummins' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cummins is operating at the current time. Most of Cummins' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cummins' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cummins' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cummins to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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